Kalamata vs Volos NFC Super League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Kalamata 3-1 Volos NFC.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Kalamata, 29% draw, 32% Volos NFC — fair odds of 2.56, 3.45 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Greek Super League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Kalamata at 39% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Kalamata vs Volos NFC
Line-ups
- 1I. GeliosG
- 22P. KaloutsikidisD
- 4S. StroungisD
- 97RodriguesD
- 17Julio AlonsoD
- 24E. HamzaM
- 23G. PiñeiroM
- 32J. BonettoM
- 10A. SigurðssonM
- 20A. Mendes MoreiraM
- 9J. BolívarF
- 18P. PanagiotouD
- 40N. VasiljevićG
- 12I. ChatzitheodoridisD
- 19M. J. BakayokoD
- 99S. AngelisF
- 6D. DiarraM
- 26P. GinisG
- 44A. GuessandD
- 29U. IgnjatovićD
- 55A. KoşelevG
- 37H. MendylD
- 15H. EssaoubiD
- 4G. KargasD
- 24K. LykourinosD
- 8M. CombaM
- 17V. GrosdisM
- 10JocaM
- 21M. GonzálezM
- 7L. LamprouM
- 11Gustavo FurtadoF
- 99D. AgyakwaD
- 72E. TasiourasD
- 20Xesc RegisF
- 89F. RefatllariM
- 82Athanasios Papathanasiou GerofokoasG
- 22G. MigasM
- 91Y. NeyouM
- 49G. CharalampoglouF
- 27D. BurnićM
Form going into Kalamata vs Volos NFC
Kalamata
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Atromitos6 September 2026
- L0-2away to Panetolikos29 August 2026
- L2-3Aris Thessalonikis22 August 2026
Volos NFC
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Olympiakos Piraeus5 September 2026
- D1-1Iraklis 190829 August 2026
- L0-2away to OFI23 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Super League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Kalamata | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 | Volos NFC | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 0 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Kalamata vs Volos NFC
- 1 September 2026Volos NFC 2–2 KalamataCup
- 10 August 2026Volos NFC 0–2 KalamataFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Kalamata and Volos NFC
Kalamata
GoalsAssists
- D. Kurminowski40
- K. Vargas30
Volos NFC
GoalsAssists
- M. González20
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Kalamata beat Volos NFC 3–1. The model had made a win for Kalamata its most likely outcome, at 39%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Matías Nahuel González 26' for Volos NFC, Erik Hamza 59' for Kalamata, Jovanny Bolivar 84' for Kalamata, Erik Hamza 90+3' for Kalamata.
How the call on Kalamata v Volos NFC has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 45% / 26% / 29% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 39% / 29% / 32%: the biggest move is Kalamata's chance of winning, down 6 points.
- Kalamata win39%▼ −6
- Draw29%▲ +3
- Volos NFC win32%▲ +3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.