19 September 2026, 13:00 UTC

Richards Bay vs Sekhukhune United Premier Soccer League prediction & result

King Zwelithini Stadium, Durban
Full time2 – 3

Final score: Richards Bay 2-3 Sekhukhune United.

Before kick-off the model made it 33% Richards Bay, 29% draw, 38% Sekhukhune United — fair odds of 3.03, 3.45 and 2.63.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Sekhukhune United at 38%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Richards Bay4%Draw92%Sekhukhune United4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

10'
⚽T. Mokoaneassist: B. Muzeu
18'
🔁K. Tlakaout: S. Sangweni
66'
🔁B. Muzeuout: B. Ndlovu
66'
🔁T. Nkwanaout: O. Phiri
🔁S. Barnsout: W. Ngema
67'
73'
⚽N. S. Gilbani
🔁S. Gweleout: L. Mahala
75'
⚽N. Xuluassist: M. Mthembu
77'
⚽N. Xulu
86'
88'
🔁T. Mokoaneout: C. Ohizu
90'
⚽N. Rammalaassist: O. Phiri

Match stats — Richards Bay vs Sekhukhune United

58%Possession42%
16Shots10
6On target4
9Corners3
1.56xG0.86

Goals against chances

Richards Bay2 from 1.56 xGabout what the chances were worth
Sekhukhune United3 from 0.86 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Richards Bay
  • 32S. MtshaliG
  • 22L. MabuyaD
  • 25S. McinekaD
  • 5T. SikhakhaneD
  • 37S. GweleD
  • 24S. GumedeM
  • 30S. BarnsM
  • 20M. MthembuM
  • 77L. KhumaloM
  • 19S. NzamaM
  • 27N. XuluF
Substitutes
  • 16N. NgcoboG
  • 2S. JaliD
  • 3S. Mntungwa
  • 12S. GumbiM
  • 35T. Ndelu
  • 31O. Mbambo
  • 33W. NgemaM
  • 14L. Mahala
  • 26W. NgidiF
Sekhukhune United 4-2-3-1
  • 30M. N. ButheleziG
  • 28T. MatsimbiD
  • 4D. CardosoD
  • 14N. S. GilbaniD
  • 29D. S. KazeemD
  • 45K. Tlaka
  • 15S. MkhizeM
  • 5T. Nkwana
  • 11N. RammalaM
  • 31T. MokoaneM
  • 41B. MuzeuF
Substitutes
  • 16T. NsabataG
  • 26A. McabaD
  • 13M. VandalaF
  • 3B. NdlovuM
  • 24S. MalivhaM
  • 35S. SangweniM
  • 17T. MashiloaneM
  • 34C. OhizuF
  • 8O. PhiriF
Coach: Papi Zothwane

Form going into Richards Bay vs Sekhukhune United

Richards Bay

Premier Soccer League

  • L1-5away to Milford FC13 September 2026
  • L1-2Amazulu4 September 2026

Sekhukhune United

Premier Soccer League

  • D1-1away to Stellenbosch11 September 2026
  • D0-0TS Galaxy5 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Premier Soccer League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
16Richards Bay90361123-123
6Sekhukhune United942399014

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Richards Bay vs Sekhukhune United

  • 16 May 2026Richards Bay 1–1 Sekhukhune UnitedPremier Soccer League
  • 4 November 2025Sekhukhune United 1–1 Richards BayPremier Soccer League
  • 5 March 2025Richards Bay 2–1 Sekhukhune UnitedPremier Soccer League
  • 29 October 2024Sekhukhune United 2–0 Richards BayPremier Soccer League
  • 20 October 2024Richards Bay 1–0 Sekhukhune UnitedLeague Cup
  • 17 February 2024Sekhukhune United 3–1 Richards BayPremier Soccer League

Leading scorers: Richards Bay and Sekhukhune United

Richards Bay

GoalsAssists

  • N. Xulu50

Sekhukhune United

GoalsAssists

  • E. Rammala21
  • B. Muzeu21

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Sekhukhune United won 3–2 at Richards Bay. The model had made a win for Sekhukhune United its most likely outcome, at 38%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: T. Mokoane 10' for Sekhukhune United, N. S. Gilbani 73' for Sekhukhune United, N. Xulu 77' for Richards Bay, N. Xulu 86' for Richards Bay, N. Rammala 90' for Sekhukhune United. On expected goals it finished 1.56–0.86.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.