Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Orlando City SC 2-1 Real Salt Lake.
Before kick-off the model made it 56% Orlando City SC, 20% draw, 24% Real Salt Lake — fair odds of 1.79, 5.00 and 4.17.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Orlando City SC at 56%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 71M. CrepeauG
- 24G. DorseyD
- 4D. BrekaloD
- 6R. JanssonD
- 19Z. TaifiD
- 20E. AtuestaM
- 5Luis OtavioM
- 77I. AnguloM
- 7A. GriezmannM
- 11TiagoM
- 87M. PasalicF
- 12J. OteroG
- 57Iago TeodoroD
- 16W. CartagenaM
- 35J. GerbetM
- 22J. EllisF
- 65G. CaraballoM
- 9D. DikeF
- 14T. SpicerF
- 23H. SarajianF
- 31M. StajduharG
- 3K. HenryD
- 21J. J. AriasD
- 29S. JunquaD
- 11D. MarczukM
- 34L. MoisaM
- 7P. RuizM
- 39A. HezarkhaniM
- 98A. KatranisM
- 70Lineker RodriguesF
- 17V. OlatunjiF
- 1Rafael CabralG
- 26P. QuintonD
- 4L. EngelD
- 92N. CaliskanM
- 10D. LunaM
- 25C. GuskeM
- 8J. SanabriaM
- 12S. LobjanidzeM
- 9M. GuilavoguiF
Form going into Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake
Orlando City SC
All competitions we cover
- L1-2Chicago Fire19 August 2026
- D1-1FC Cincinnati15 August 2026
- L2-3away to New York Red Bulls1 August 2026
- W1-0Nashville SC25 July 2026
- W4-0away to San Jose Earthquakes23 July 2026
Real Salt Lake
All competitions we cover
- L3-4FC Dallas20 August 2026
- D1-1Minnesota United FC16 August 2026
- D1-1away to St. Louis City2 August 2026
- L1-2away to Portland Timbers26 July 2026
- L1-3away to Los Angeles FC23 July 2026
What these results say
- Orlando City SC scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Real Salt Lake did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Real Salt Lake scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Real Salt Lake conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 63 | 78 | -15 | 46 |
| 9 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 53 | 52 | +1 | 45 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake
- 9 July 2023Real Salt Lake 4–0 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
- 1 March 2020Orlando City SC 0–0 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- 14 April 2019Real Salt Lake 2–1 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
- 6 May 2018Orlando City SC 3–1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- 1 July 2017Real Salt Lake 0–1 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
- 6 March 2016Orlando City SC 2–2 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: Orlando City SC and Real Salt Lake
Orlando City SC
GoalsAssists
- M. Ojeda164
- A. Griezmann147
Real Salt Lake
GoalsAssists
- S. Solans154
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Orlando City SC beat Real Salt Lake 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Orlando City SC at 56%. The goals: D. Marczuk 36' for Real Salt Lake, A. Griezmann 53' for Orlando City SC, A. Griezmann 81' for Orlando City SC. On expected goals it finished 1.65–0.52.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.