22 August 2026, 19:00 UTC

Fluminense vs Remo Serie A prediction & result

Rio de Janeiro
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Fluminense 2-1 Remo.

Before kick-off the model made it 58% Fluminense, 23% draw, 19% Remo — fair odds of 1.72, 4.35 and 5.26.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Fluminense at 58%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Fluminense97%Draw3%Remo0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Hércules
4'
31'
⚽Jajaassist: Marcelinho
🔁Samuel Xavierout: Julio Fidelis
44'
🔁Herculesout: Nonato
46'
🔁A. Canobbioout: K. Serna
46'
60'
🔁Vitor Buenoout: David Braga
⚽Hulkassist: Y. Soteldo
66'
69'
🔁Jajaout: Alef Manga
70'
🔁Marcelinhoout: A. Galeano
🔁Hulkout: G. Cano
76'
81'
Yago Pikachu
🔁Y. Soteldoout: Riquelme Felipe
83'
⚽K. Sernaassist: Riquelme Felipe
83'
89'
🔁Marllonout: Patrick
89'
🔁Ze Ricardoout: L. Picco

Match stats — Fluminense vs Remo

73%Possession27%
20Shots7
9On target1
11Corners2
1.24xG0.34

Goals against chances

Fluminense2 from 1.24 xGmore than the chances were worth
Remo1 from 0.34 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Fluminense 4-2-3-1
  • 1FabioG
  • 2Samuel XavierD
  • 4IgnacioD
  • 3Thiago SilvaD
  • 6ReneD
  • 35HerculesM
  • 8MartinelliM
  • 17A. CanobbioM
  • 10PH GansoM
  • 30Y. SoteldoM
  • 7HulkF
Substitutes
  • 98Vitor EudesG
  • 44JemmesD
  • 46Julio FidelisD
  • 13Guilherme AranaD
  • 29J. MillanD
  • 16NonatoM
  • 94OtavioM
  • 11J. SavarinoF
  • 28Riquelme FelipeF
Coach: Marcao
Remo 4-2-3-1
  • 88Marcelo RangelG
  • 79MarcelinhoD
  • 13MarllonD
  • 18D. TchambaD
  • 6MarlonD
  • 28Ze WelisonM
  • 55Ze RicardoM
  • 22Yago PikachuM
  • 15Vitor BuenoM
  • 7JajaM
  • 19Gabriel TaliariF
Substitutes
  • 97IvanG
  • 94Ygor VinhasG
  • 27Ze IvaldoD
  • 5Leo AndradeD
  • 2Matheus AlexandreD
  • 4Matheus FelipeD
  • 8PatrickM
  • 14L. PiccoM
  • 26David BragaM
Coach: Conde Leo

Form going into Fluminense vs Remo

Fluminense

All competitions we cover

  • W3-2Palmeiras15 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Botafogo9 August 2026
  • D0-0Bahia30 July 2026
  • D1-1away to Gremio26 July 2026
  • D1-1RB Bragantino17 July 2026

Remo

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1away to Internacional17 August 2026
  • D2-2Atletico Mineiro8 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Mirassol29 July 2026
  • W2-0Vitoria26 July 2026
  • L0-3away to Corinthians23 July 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Brazil Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4Fluminense3416995542+1357
19Remo34611173757-2029

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Fluminense vs Remo

  • 12 March 2026Remo 0–2 FluminenseSerie A

Leading scorers: Fluminense and Remo

Fluminense

GoalsAssists

  • John Kennedy91

Remo

GoalsAssists

  • Jája Silva91

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Fluminense beat Remo 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Fluminense at 58%. The goals: Jaja 31' for Remo, Hulk 66' for Fluminense, K. Serna 83' for Fluminense. On expected goals it finished 1.24–0.34.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.