22 August 2026, 23:30 UTC

FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders Major League Soccer prediction & result

TQL Stadium, Cincinnati
Full time1 – 1

Final score: FC Cincinnati 1-1 Seattle Sounders.

Before kick-off the model made it 58% FC Cincinnati, 22% draw, 20% Seattle Sounders — fair odds of 1.72, 4.55 and 5.00.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FC Cincinnati at 58%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Cincinnati6%Draw91%Seattle Sounders3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Evander
24'
38'
Ryan Sailor
🔁K. Mbomaout: K. Denkey
59'
61'
🔁E. Carliout: Nouhou
61'
🔁S. Brunellout: D. Musovski
Bryan Ramirez
64'
🔁B. J. Ramirez Leonout: P. Bucha
73'
🔁T. Barlowout: A. Jabbari
73'
75'
Peter Kingston
77'
🔁O. De Rosarioout: A. Roldan
77'
🔁A. Lopezout: A. Rusnak
83'
⚽K. Kossa-Rienziassist: A. Rusnak
🔁E. Echeniqueout: A. Powell
89'
🔁T. Anungaout: O. Nwobodo
89'
90+1'
🔁S. Gomezout: Kim Kee-Hee

Match stats — FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders

70%Possession30%
17Shots10
9On target3
9Corners4
1.38xG1.38

Goals against chances

FC Cincinnati1 from 1.38 xGabout what the chances were worth
Seattle Sounders1 from 1.38 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

FC Cincinnati 3-5-2
  • 18R. CelentanoG
  • 11S. GidiD
  • 12M. RobinsonD
  • 88A. ChirilaD
  • 66E. EcheniqueM
  • 22G. ValenzuelaM
  • 10EvanderM
  • 27T. AnungaM
  • 29B. J. Ramirez LeonM
  • 17K. MbomaF
  • 16T. BarlowF
Substitutes
  • 13E. LouroG
  • 4N. HagglundD
  • 15T. HadebeD
  • 2A. PowellD
  • 24K. SmithD
  • 20P. BuchaM
  • 5O. NwobodoM
  • 99A. JabbariF
  • 9K. DenkeyF
Coach: Pat Noonan
Seattle Sounders 5-4-1
  • 26A. ThomasG
  • 85K. Kossa-RienziD
  • 39S. HawkinsD
  • 4R. SailorD
  • 35A. LopezD
  • 14P. RothrockD
  • 30E. CarliM
  • 45P. KingstonM
  • 37S. BrunellM
  • 90S. GomezM
  • 95O. De RosarioF
Substitutes
  • 24S. FreiG
  • 20Kim Kee-HeeD
  • 16A. RoldanD
  • 5NouhouD
  • 11A. RusnakM
  • 32X. GnaulatiM
  • 19D. MusovskiF
  • 42R. JaureguiM
  • 81M. Bronnik
Coach: Brian Schmetzer

Form going into FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders

FC Cincinnati

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1New York City FC19 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Orlando City SC15 August 2026
  • W4-2San Jose Earthquakes1 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Columbus Crew25 July 2026
  • W4-3Vancouver Whitecaps22 July 2026

Seattle Sounders

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2Austin20 August 2026
  • L0-2Vancouver Whitecaps17 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Portland Timbers2 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Philadelphia Union25 July 2026
  • L1-3away to Austin23 July 2026

What these results say

  • FC Cincinnati scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • FC Cincinnati conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Both sides scored in every one of these 5 matches for FC Cincinnati.
  • Seattle Sounders did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • Seattle Sounders conceded in every one of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9FC Cincinnati341210126775-846
8Seattle Sounders341210124446-246

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders

  • 12 March 2023FC Cincinnati 1–0 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
  • 28 September 2022Seattle Sounders 1–1 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
  • 3 March 2019Seattle Sounders 4–1 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer

Leading scorers: FC Cincinnati and Seattle Sounders

FC Cincinnati

GoalsAssists

  • K. Denkey173

Seattle Sounders

No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 44 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FC Cincinnati and Seattle Sounders drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for FC Cincinnati at 58% and given a draw 22%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: Evander 24' for FC Cincinnati, K. Kossa-Rienzi 83' for Seattle Sounders. On expected goals it finished 1.38–1.38.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.