22 August 2026, 23:30 UTC

Charlotte vs DC United Major League Soccer prediction & result

Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte
Full time3 – 1

Final score: Charlotte 3-1 DC United.

Before kick-off the model made it 55% Charlotte, 19% draw, 26% DC United — fair odds of 1.82, 5.26 and 3.85.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Charlotte at 55%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Charlotte99%Draw1%DC United0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

34'
Keisuke Kurokawa
44'
Silvan Hefti
55'
⚽L. Munteanuassist: Peglow
⚽D. Schnegg
64'
🔁L. de la Torreout: B. Bronico
65'
🔁A. Westwoodout: D. Diani
65'
🔁R. Alokoout: L. Abada
65'
⚽W. Clearyassist: P. Biel
66'
68'
João Peglow
🔁I. Toklomatiout: A. Goodwin
75'
75'
🔁B. Servaniaout: N. Markovic
75'
🔁K. Nonoout: H. Kijima
75'
🔁J. Hopkinsout: N. Ordaz
⚽P. Bielassist: L. Abada
77'
🔁A. Saint-Maximinout: T. Smalls
83'
Tyger Smalls
85'
86'
🔁Peglowout: J. Stroud
Pep Biel
90+4'

Match stats — Charlotte vs DC United

61%Possession39%
11Shots17
5On target5
4Corners9
1.81xG1.27

Goals against chances

Charlotte3 from 1.81 xGmore than the chances were worth
DC United1 from 1.27 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Charlotte
  • 1K. Kahlina
  • 35W. Cleary
  • 44M. Agyemang
  • 22H. Kessler
  • 23D. Schnegg
  • 8A. Westwood
  • 17L. de la Torre
  • 37R. Aloko
  • 16P. Biel
  • 10A. Saint-Maximin
  • 9I. Toklomati
Substitutes
  • 21T. Miller
  • 3T. Ream
  • 14N. Byrne
  • 4A. Privett
  • 13B. Bronico
  • 28D. Diani
  • 7A. Goodwin
  • 25T. Smalls
  • 11L. Abada
Coach: Dean Smith
DC United
  • 1S. Johnson
  • 5S. Hefti
  • 3L. Bartlett
  • 21A. Dozzell
  • 6K. Kurokawa
  • 2K. Nono
  • 4M. Peltola
  • 23B. Servania
  • 7Peglow
  • 25J. Hopkins
  • 11L. Munteanu
Substitutes
  • 26A. Bono
  • 13S. Nealis
  • 27N. Markovic
  • 77H. Kijima
  • 8J. Stroud
  • 22N. Ordaz
  • 9T. Baribo
Coach: Rene Weiler

Form going into Charlotte vs DC United

Charlotte

All competitions we cover

  • D3-3away to Toronto FC19 August 2026
  • W3-1Columbus Crew15 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Chicago Fire2 August 2026
  • W2-0away to New York Red Bulls25 July 2026
  • D2-2Atlanta United FC23 July 2026

DC United

All competitions we cover

  • L0-3New England Revolution19 August 2026
  • D1-1away to CF Montreal15 August 2026
  • D2-2Nashville SC1 August 2026
  • W2-1Toronto FC25 July 2026
  • D1-1away to Houston Dynamo23 July 2026

What these results say

  • Charlotte scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Charlotte conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Charlotte had three goals or more.
  • DC United conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • DC United failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • DC United scored in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Charlotte34159106651+1554
14DC United34712153961-2233

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Charlotte vs DC United

  • 4 October 2025DC United 0–1 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
  • 16 July 2025Charlotte 2–1 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
  • 21 May 2025DC United 2–2 CharlotteUS Open Cup
  • 20 October 2024DC United 0–3 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
  • 15 June 2024Charlotte 1–0 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
  • 16 September 2023Charlotte 0–0 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer

Leading scorers: Charlotte and DC United

Charlotte

GoalsAssists

  • I. Toklomati Giorno155

DC United

GoalsAssists

  • T. Baribo161

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Charlotte beat DC United 3–1. The model had made a win for Charlotte its most likely outcome, at 55%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: L. Munteanu 55' for DC United, D. Schnegg 64' for Charlotte, W. Cleary 66' for Charlotte, P. Biel 77' for Charlotte. On expected goals it finished 1.81–1.27.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.