22 August 2026, 23:30 UTC

CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy Major League Soccer prediction & result

Saputo Stadium, Montreal
Full time2 – 2

Final score: CF Montreal 2-2 Los Angeles Galaxy.

Before kick-off the model made it 66% CF Montreal, 19% draw, 15% Los Angeles Galaxy — fair odds of 1.52, 5.26 and 6.67.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

CF Montreal at 66%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

CF Montreal9%Draw89%Los Angeles Galaxy2%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽D. Rios
16'
19'
⚽R. Ramos
🔁B. Veraout: B. Craig
46'
48'
⚽M. Yoshidaassist: J. Paintsil
🔁D. Bugajout: B. Ceballos
61'
🔁D. Pereiraout: A. Sanchez
62'
🔁N. Streitout: F. Herbers
62'
62'
🔁R. Ramosout: E. Thommy
62'
🔁J. Paintsilout: H. Lozano
Brandan Craig
67'
68'
JT Marcinkowski
72'
🔁J. Nelsonout: N. Micovic
72'
🔁I. Parenteout: J. Aude
⚽P. Owusuassist: L. Petrasso
79'
🔁J. Nealout: O. Escobar
81'
82'
🔁R. Taylorout: C. Garces
Brayan Ceballos
90+1'

Match stats — CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy

57%Possession43%
15Shots9
6On target5
6Corners5
1.81xG1.22

Goals against chances

CF Montreal2 from 1.81 xGabout what the chances were worth
Los Angeles Galaxy2 from 1.22 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

CF Montreal 4-3-3
  • 31T. GillierG
  • 27D. BugajD
  • 2J. NealD
  • 4B. VeraD
  • 13L. PetrassoD
  • 8M. LongstaffM
  • 7D. PereiraM
  • 22V. LoturiM
  • 23N. StreitF
  • 9P. OwusuF
  • 14D. RiosF
Substitutes
  • 1S. BrezaG
  • 3B. CeballosD
  • 5B. CraigD
  • 26I. LosenkoM
  • 29O. EscobarF
  • 6S. PietteM
  • 10A. SanchezF
  • 21F. HerbersF
  • 35O. Graham-RoacheF
Coach: Philippe Eullaffroy
Los Angeles Galaxy 4-3-3
  • 12J. MarcinkowskiG
  • 26H. MillerD
  • 5J. GlesnesD
  • 4M. YoshidaD
  • 14J. NelsonD
  • 24R. RamosM
  • 16I. ParenteM
  • 15J. HaakM
  • 28J. PaintsilF
  • 7K. FuruhashiF
  • 21R. TaylorF
Substitutes
  • 1N. MicovicG
  • 3J. AudeD
  • 25C. GarcesD
  • 20C. RindovD
  • 27E. ThommyM
  • 88M. Vanney
  • 90B. Phan
  • 76T. ElgersmaM
  • 11H. LozanoF
Coach: Greg Vanney

Form going into CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy

CF Montreal

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1away to Columbus Crew19 August 2026
  • D1-1DC United15 August 2026
  • D2-2New England Revolution1 August 2026
  • L0-1Inter Miami25 July 2026
  • L0-1away to Nashville SC23 July 2026

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0San Jose Earthquakes20 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Houston Dynamo16 August 2026
  • D0-0FC Dallas2 August 2026
  • D1-1away to San Jose Earthquakes26 July 2026
  • L1-3St. Louis City23 July 2026

What these results say

  • CF Montreal conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • CF Montreal failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Los Angeles Galaxy failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Los Angeles Galaxy had two goals or fewer.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
15CF Montreal3468203769-3226
11Los Angeles Galaxy341111125057-744

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy

  • 5 July 2022Los Angeles Galaxy 4–0 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
  • 22 September 2019Los Angeles Galaxy 2–1 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
  • 21 May 2018CF Montreal 0–1 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
  • 8 April 2017Los Angeles Galaxy 2–0 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
  • 29 May 2016CF Montreal 3–2 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
  • 13 September 2015Los Angeles Galaxy 0–0 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer

Leading scorers: CF Montreal and Los Angeles Galaxy

CF Montreal

GoalsAssists

  • P. Owusu156

Los Angeles Galaxy

No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 50 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

CF Montreal and Los Angeles Galaxy drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for CF Montreal at 66% and given a draw 19%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: D. Rios 16' for CF Montreal, R. Ramos 19' for Los Angeles Galaxy, M. Yoshida 48' for Los Angeles Galaxy, P. Owusu 79' for CF Montreal. Sent off: JT Marcinkowski (Los Angeles Galaxy) 68'. On expected goals it finished 1.81–1.22.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.