Omonia Nicosia vs St. Truiden UEFA Europa League prediction & result
Final score: Omonia Nicosia 4-2 St. Truiden.
Before kick-off the model made it 29% Omonia Nicosia, 28% draw, 43% St. Truiden — fair odds of 3.45, 3.57 and 2.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts St. Truiden at 43% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 1,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Omonia Nicosia vs St. Truiden
Line-ups
- 40FabianoG
- 93J. DuverneD
- 5S. CoulibalyD
- 30N. PanagiotouD
- 29J. BalkovecD
- 22M. TankovicM
- 14M. MaricM
- 74P. AndreouM
- 11Costa EwandroM
- 99L. DionyF
- 7J. MontnorM
- 78P. MichailG
- 23F. UzohoG
- 37L. SatkaD
- 27S. SimicD
- 77L. NegoD
- 90C. KonstantinidisD
- 82A. Christou
- 31I. KousoulosM
- 10A. ChatzigiovanisM
- 16L. KokuboG
- 26V. MusliuD
- 5S. TaniguchiD
- 23J. PupeD
- 60R. VanwesemaelD
- 14R. MerlenM
- 8A. SissakoM
- 18N. IshiwatariM
- 7A. MujaM
- 10I. SebaouiM
- 9S. BazdarF
- 21M. LendfersG
- 35Y. NgoyG
- 33A. DirikenM
- 39R. VerheydenD
- 3T. HataD
- 71R. ArakiM
- 38K. MatsuzawaF
- 31I. BenachourM
- 22W. JanssensD
Form going into Omonia Nicosia vs St. Truiden
Omonia Nicosia
- L0-1away to St. Truiden20 August 2026
- W1-0Lincoln Red Imps FC13 August 2026
- D1-1away to Lincoln Red Imps FC6 August 2026
St. Truiden
- W1-0Omonia Nicosia20 August 2026
- D3-3away to Cercle Brugge14 August 2026
- D1-1Lommel United8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Omonia Nicosia and St. Truiden in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Omonia Nicosia | UEFA Europa League | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 11 | St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 8 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: UEFA Europa League · Jupiler Pro League
Head-to-head: Omonia Nicosia vs St. Truiden
- 20 August 2026St. Truiden 1–0 Omonia NicosiaUEFA Europa League
Previous meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026 — any earlier meeting between these clubs is not listed here.
Leading scorers: Omonia Nicosia and St. Truiden
Omonia Nicosia
- J. Balkovec1 goal
St. Truiden
- S. Baždar4 goals
- R. Merlen3 goals3 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.