20 August 2026, 18:00 UTC

St. Truiden vs Omonia Nicosia UEFA Europa League prediction & result

Daio Wasabi Stayen, Sint-Truiden
Full time1 – 0

Final score: St. Truiden 1-0 Omonia Nicosia.

Before kick-off the model made it 63% St. Truiden, 18% draw, 19% Omonia Nicosia — fair odds of 1.59, 5.56 and 5.26. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts St. Truiden at 63% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 691 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 53.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

St. Truiden8%Draw88%Omonia Nicosia4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁F. Soelleout: S. Bazdar
46'
Robert-Jan Vanwesemael
50'
51'
Jean-Kévin Duverne
🔁N. Ishiwatariout: R. Araki
61'
🔁K. Matsuzawaout: A. Muja
61'
71'
🔁J. Montnorout: A. Chatzigiovanis
77'
🔁M. Tankovicout: L. Nego
77'
🔁L. Dionyout: A. Kakoullis
85'
Ewandro Costa
90+1'
🔁Ewandroout: A. Neofytou
⚽S. Taniguchiassist: R. Merlen
90'

Match stats — St. Truiden vs Omonia Nicosia

57%Possession43%
3On target2
6Corners1

Line-ups

St. Truiden
  • 16L. KokuboG
  • 60R. VanwesemaelD
  • 5S. TaniguchiD
  • 26V. MusliuD
  • 23J. PupeD
  • 14R. MerlenM
  • 8A. SissakoM
  • 18N. IshiwatariM
  • 10I. SebaouiM
  • 19F. SoelleF
  • 38K. MatsuzawaF
Substitutes
  • 21M. LendfersG
  • 33A. DirikenM
  • 4L. Mbe SohD
  • 3T. HataD
  • 71R. ArakiM
  • 31I. BenachourM
  • 22W. JanssensD
  • 7A. MujaM
  • 99S. ShinkawaF
Omonia Nicosia 4-3-3
  • 40Fabiano FreitasG
  • 93J. DuverneD
  • 5S. CoulibalyD
  • 30N. PanagiotouD
  • 29J. BalkovecD
  • 14M. MaricM
  • 22M. TankovicM
  • 74P. AndreouM
  • 11EwandroM
  • 99L. DionyF
  • 7J. MontnorM
Substitutes
  • 78P. MichailG
  • 23F. UzohoG
  • 37L. SatkaD
  • 27S. SimicD
  • 77L. NegoD
  • 6C. EitingM
  • 82A. Christou
  • 31I. KousoulosM
  • 10A. ChatzigiovanisM
Coach: Henning Berg

Form going into St. Truiden vs Omonia Nicosia

St. Truiden

  • D3-3away to Cercle Brugge14 August 2026
  • D1-1Lommel United8 August 2026

Omonia Nicosia

  • W1-0Lincoln Red Imps FC13 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Lincoln Red Imps FC6 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

St. Truiden and Omonia Nicosia in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
11St. TruidenJupiler Pro League7223121208
16Omonia NicosiaUEFA Europa League110010+13

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Jupiler Pro League · UEFA Europa League

Leading scorers: St. Truiden and Omonia Nicosia

St. Truiden

  • S. Baždar4 goals
  • R. Merlen3 goals3 assists

Omonia Nicosia

  • J. Balkovec1 goal

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.