Red Bull Salzburg vs Mjallby AIF UEFA Europa League prediction & result
Final score: Red Bull Salzburg 3-0 Mjallby AIF.
Before kick-off the model made it 57% Red Bull Salzburg, 21% draw, 22% Mjallby AIF — fair odds of 1.75, 4.76 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Red Bull Salzburg at 57% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 691 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 53.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Red Bull Salzburg vs Mjallby AIF
Line-ups
- 52C. ZawieschitzkyG
- 18N. VeratschnigD
- 44K. BomaD
- 47V. ZabranskyD
- 31D. SchmidD
- 32A. BarryM
- 15B. MazurekM
- 23D. RedzicM
- 19K. KonateF
- 20E. BaidooF
- 9H. TabakovicF
- 1C. FruchtlG
- 41N. SarcevicG
- 22S. LainerD
- 21T. DrexlerD
- 39L. MorgallaD
- 4J. MellbergD
- 14M. KjaergaardM
- 28F. MatijasevicM
- 7U. TohumcuM
- 13R. WallinderG
- 33T. MiettinenD
- 4A. NorenD
- 24T. PetterssonD
- 10J. KjaerF
- 22J. GustavssonM
- 6M. EnggaardM
- 7V. GustafsonM
- 25M. NielsenD
- 18J. BergstromF
- 14V. GranathM
- 30M. AhlstrandG
- 3M. AgnarssonM
- 2L. SvanbergD
- 8T. HelgeM
- 39R. ArrheniusM
- 27L. TidstrandD
- 19I. Andersen
- 29O. LindbergM
- 15B. Bang-KittilsenF
Form going into Red Bull Salzburg vs Mjallby AIF
Red Bull Salzburg
- W1-0away to Mjallby AIF20 August 2026
- D3-3away to Pafos13 August 2026
- W1-0Pafos6 August 2026
Mjallby AIF
- L0-1Red Bull Salzburg20 August 2026
- W4-3Sirius15 August 2026
- L0-2away to Slovan Bratislava11 August 2026
- L0-1IF Elfsborg8 August 2026
- L1-2Slovan Bratislava4 August 2026
What these results say
- Mjallby AIF conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Mjallby AIF failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Red Bull Salzburg and Mjallby AIF in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Red Bull Salzburg | UEFA Europa League | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 | Mjallby AIF | Allsvenskan | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 22 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: UEFA Europa League · Allsvenskan
Head-to-head: Red Bull Salzburg vs Mjallby AIF
- 20 August 2026Mjallby AIF 0–1 Red Bull SalzburgUEFA Europa League
Previous meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026 — any earlier meeting between these clubs is not listed here.
Leading scorers: Red Bull Salzburg and Mjallby AIF
Red Bull Salzburg
- H. Tabaković1 goal
Mjallby AIF
- J. Bergström9 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.