FC Iberia 1999 vs Jagiellonia UEFA Europa League prediction & result
Final score: FC Iberia 1999 1-2 Jagiellonia.
Before kick-off the model made it 16% FC Iberia 1999, 18% draw, 66% Jagiellonia — fair odds of 6.25, 5.56 and 1.52. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Jagiellonia at 66% here. Across 3,018 settled matches (as of 4 October 2026), 279 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.4%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Iberia 1999 vs Jagiellonia
Line-ups
- 31G. MakaridzeG
- 40G. KobuladzeD
- 25A. AmisulashviliD
- 4V. SelimovicD
- 5J. JinjolavaD
- 8B. KardavaM
- 6N. DadianiM
- 14I. AlhassanM
- 17S. EndeF
- 19N. SikharulashviliF
- 10Z. NatchkebiaF
- 1T. MegrelishviliG
- 22S. FigueredoD
- 30N. BochorishviliD
- 27G. KutsiaM
- 23E. KuliyevM
- 18Lucas CafeM
- 29L. ChikhradzeF
- 9A. DzaganiaF
- 50S. AbramowiczG
- 15N. WojtuszekD
- 5B. VitalD
- 4Y. KobayashiD
- 23G. MontoiaD
- 19A. KlyngeM
- 6T. RomanczukM
- 11J. ImazM
- 10J. AgbonifoF
- 99N. PrelecF
- 7K. SzmytF
- 1M. PerchelG
- 27R. ConceicaoD
- 44A. KonstantopoulosD
- 62S. PankiewiczD
- 2C. PolakM
- 61B. KrasiewiczD
- 85E. KozlowskiM
- 8D. DrachalM
- 9D. RallisF
Form going into FC Iberia 1999 vs Jagiellonia
FC Iberia 1999
- L0-4away to Jagiellonia20 August 2026
- W2-1Larne11 August 2026
- D0-0away to Larne4 August 2026
- D1-1away to Slovan Bratislava29 July 2026
- L0-2Slovan Bratislava21 July 2026
Jagiellonia
- W4-0FC Iberia 199920 August 2026
- D1-1away to Rangers13 August 2026
- W2-1Rangers6 August 2026
What these results say
- FC Iberia 1999 failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Iberia 1999 conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
FC Iberia 1999 and Jagiellonia in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FC Iberia 1999 | Erovnuli Liga | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 38 | 30 | +8 | 46 |
| 21 | Jagiellonia | UEFA Europa League | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Erovnuli Liga · UEFA Europa League
Head-to-head: FC Iberia 1999 vs Jagiellonia
- 20 August 2026Jagiellonia 4–0 FC Iberia 1999UEFA Europa League
Previous meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026 — any earlier meeting between these clubs is not listed here.
Leading scorers: FC Iberia 1999 and Jagiellonia
FC Iberia 1999
No player in Erovnuli Liga's leading scorers — 38 league goals as a side.
Jagiellonia
- K. Szmyt1 goal
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.