Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë UEFA Europa League prediction & result
Final score: Lillestrom 2-1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë.
Before kick-off the model made it 45% Lillestrom, 24% draw, 31% Egnatia Rrogozhinë — fair odds of 2.22, 4.17 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Lillestrom at 45% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 1,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Line-ups
- 12P. DahlbergG
- 2L. RangerD
- 28R. GabrielsenD
- 5S. FossD
- 11F. ElkaerD
- 14G. NyheimM
- 29Y. IbrahimajM
- 17E. KitolanoM
- 26Y. PaintsilF
- 8F. GulbrandsenF
- 20Felix VaF
- 1S. HagerupG
- 50L. BabicG
- 3S. OttesenD
- 4E. B. GarnasD
- 6H. WoxenM
- 7L. AlperudM
- 10T. OlsenF
- 15G. NordhM
- 16H. MellandM
- 98M. DajsinaniG
- 55G. SmajliD
- 33E. BitriD
- 28E. SotaD
- 16E. NdrecaD
- 20K. LoukiliM
- 6A. AleksiM
- 7Fernando MedeirosM
- 10A. AlbaneseM
- 2D. AdjessaF
- 77I. GrudaM
- 1L. TandilashviliG
- 12B. PujaG
- 4Z. AliyevD
- 8I. DiabateM
- 13A. Kacbufi
- 17A. KryeziuM
- 24N. AjetovikjD
- 29A. YagoM
- 99J. MontenegroF
Form going into Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Lillestrom
- D0-0away to Egnatia Rrogozhinë20 August 2026
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
- D0-0Lillestrom20 August 2026
- W5-1Shamrock Rovers13 August 2026
- L1-3away to Shamrock Rovers4 August 2026
- D1-1away to Celje28 July 2026
- D3-3Celje22 July 2026
What these results say
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Lillestrom and Egnatia Rrogozhinë in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Lillestrom | UEFA Europa League | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Egnatia Rrogozhinë has not started the league season yet. Full tables: UEFA Europa League · UEFA Europa Conference League
Head-to-head: Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë
- 20 August 2026Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0–0 LillestromUEFA Europa League
Previous meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026 — any earlier meeting between these clubs is not listed here.