22 July 2026, 19:00 UTC

Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Celje UEFA Champions League prediction & result

Demrozi Stadium, Rrogozhine
Full time3 3

Final score: Egnatia Rrogozhinë 3-3 Celje.

Before kick-off the model made it 27% Egnatia Rrogozhinë, 50% draw, 23% Celje — fair odds of 3.70, 2.00 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts the draw at 50% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

E. Bitriassist: A. Kryeziu
7'
🔁S. Bakayokoout: D. Adjessa
16'
45'
M. Kvesicassist: S. Seslar
54'
A. Kucysassist: L. Koutris
Eljon Sota
56'
Fernando Medeirosassist: D. Adjessa
58'
66'
M. Kvesic
69'
🔁A. Kucysout: P. Sirvys
69'
🔁A. Dionkouout: A. Kotnik
71'
Papa Daniel
Arbenit Xhemajli
73'
🔁A. Albaneseout: I. Gruda
73'
🔁K. Loukiliout: I. Diabate
74'
I. Diabateassist: Fernando Medeiros
78'
80'
🔁M. Avdyliout: M. Zabukovnik
80'
🔁S. Seslarout: V. Tusha
🔁Fernando Medeirosout: E. Ndreca
86'
🔁A. Kryeziuout: G. Smajli
86'
88'
🔁Y. Dukulyout: R. Pozeg

Line-ups

Egnatia Rrogozhinë 3-5-2
  • 98Mario DajsinaniG
  • 28Eljon SotaD
  • 33Eneo BitriD
  • 19Arbenit XhemajliD
  • 22Guillem JaimeD
  • 20Karim LoukiliM
  • 17Altin KryeziuM
  • 7Fernando MedeirosM
  • 29Andrey YagoM
  • 9Soumaila BakayokoF
  • 10Alessandro AlbaneseM
Substitutes
  • 2Daniel AdjessaF
  • 77Ildi GrudaM
  • 8Ibrahim DiabatéM
  • 16Edison NdrecaD
  • 55Geralb SmajliD
  • 1Levan TandilashviliG
  • 12Bruno PujaG
  • 24Numan AjetovikjD
  • 6Albano AleksiM
Coach: Nevil Dede
Celje 4-4-2
  • 1Žan-Luk LebanG
  • 20Alpha DiounkouD
  • 3Damjan VukliševićD
  • 4Darko HrkaM
  • 33Leonardo KoutrisD
  • 91Yaya DukulyM
  • 13Papa DanielM
  • 8Mario KvesićM
  • 11Milot AvdyliM
  • 10Svit SešlarM
  • 47Armandas KučysF
Substitutes
  • 2Pijus ŠirvysD
  • 17Andrej KotnikF
  • 19Mark ZabukovnikM
  • 25Veton TushaM
  • 94Rudi Požeg VancašM
  • 12Luka KolarG
  • 23Žiga FrelihG
  • 6Artemijus TutyškinasD
  • 27Ivan ĆalušićD
Coach: Vitor Campelos

Head-to-head: Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Celje

  • 22 July 2026Egnatia Rrogozhinë 3–3 CeljeUEFA Champions League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.