Bodo/Glimt vs Ham-Kam Eliteserien prediction & result
Final score: Bodo/Glimt 3-0 Ham-Kam.
Before kick-off the model made it 82% Bodo/Glimt, 11% draw, 7% Ham-Kam — fair odds of 1.22, 9.09 and 14.29. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 3-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Bodo/Glimt at 82% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 275 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Bodo/Glimt vs Ham-Kam
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 12Nikita HaikinG
- 20Fredrik SjøvoldD
- 4Odin Luras BjørtuftD
- 5Haitam AleesamiD
- 15Fredrik André BjørkanD
- 26Håkon EvjenM
- 7Patrick BergM
- 14Ulrik SaltnesM
- 17Ola BrynhildsenM
- 11Ole Didrik BlombergF
- 21Andreas HelmersenF
- 25Isak Dybvik MäättäD
- 10Jens Petter HaugeM
- 2Villads NielsenD
- 77Mikkel Bro HansenF
- 19Sondre FetM
- 1Julian LundG
- 6Jostein GundersenD
- 8Sondre AuklendM
- 9Kasper HøghF
- 12Marcus SandbergG
- 26Patrick MetcalfeD
- 22Snorre Strand NilsenD
- 23Fredrik SjolstadD
- 3Ethan Amundsen-DayD
- 5Anton EkerothD
- 6William Osnes-RingenM
- 14Luc MaresM
- 17Aksel Baran PoturM
- 20Julian Bakkeli GonstadF
- 19Henrik UdahlF
- 16Anders TrondsenM
- 28David BenjaminF
- 4Halvor Rodolen OpsahlD
- 8Markus JohnsgardM
- 18Gard SimenstadM
- 13Sander ØstraatG
- 7Viðar Ari JónssonM
- 2Martin GjoneD
Form going into Bodo/Glimt vs Ham-Kam
Bodo/Glimt
- W1-0Fredrikstad17 July 2026
Ham-Kam
- L1-4Tromso18 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 20 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 52 | 17 | +35 | 50 |
| 10 | Ham-Kam | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 23 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Bodo/Glimt vs Ham-Kam
- 22 July 2026Bodo/Glimt 3–0 Ham-KamEliteserien
- 3 August 2025Ham-Kam 1–3 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
- 5 April 2025Bodo/Glimt 3–0 Ham-KamEliteserien
- 13 September 2024Bodo/Glimt 3–0 Ham-KamEliteserien
- 20 May 2024Ham-Kam 1–0 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
- 3 September 2023Ham-Kam 4–4 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
Leading scorers: Bodo/Glimt and Ham-Kam
Bodo/Glimt
- A. Helmersen8 goals1 assists
- K. Høgh7 goals4 assists
Ham-Kam
- M. Alassane Niang6 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.