22 July 2026, 17:00 UTC

Bodo/Glimt vs Ham-Kam Eliteserien prediction & result

Aspmyra Stadion, Bodø
Full time3 – 0

Final score: Bodo/Glimt 3-0 Ham-Kam.

Before kick-off the model made it 82% Bodo/Glimt, 11% draw, 7% Ham-Kam — fair odds of 1.22, 9.09 and 14.29. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 3-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Bodo/Glimt at 82% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 410 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 65.9% of the time, against an average forecast of 73.3%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Andreas Helmersenassist: Fredrik André Bjørkan
24'
⚽Andreas Helmersen
50'
🔁Fredrik André Bjørkanout: Isak Dybvik Määttä
64'
🔁Ola Brynhildsenout: Jens Petter Hauge
64'
68'
🔁Luc Maresout: Anders Trondsen
68'
🔁Julian Bakkeli Gonstadout: David Benjamin
70'
Anton Ekeroth
⚽Patrick Bergassist: Odin Luras Bjørtuft
75'
76'
🔁Aksel Baran Poturout: Markus Johnsgard
76'
🔁Fredrik Sjolstadout: Halvor Rodolen Opsahl
🔁Odin Luras Bjørtuftout: Villads Nielsen
79'
🔁Ole Didrik Blombergout: Mikkel Bro Hansen
79'
🔁Ulrik Saltnesout: Sondre Fet
86'
86'
🔁Henrik Udahlout: Gard Simenstad

Match stats — Bodo/Glimt vs Ham-Kam

71%Possession29%
20Shots2
9On target1
10Corners1
2.35xG0.3

Goals against chances

Bodo/Glimt3 from 2.35 xGmore than the chances were worth
Ham-Kam0 from 0.30 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Bodo/Glimt
  • 12Nikita HaikinG
  • 20Fredrik SjøvoldD
  • 4Odin Luras BjørtuftD
  • 5Haitam AleesamiD
  • 15Fredrik André BjørkanD
  • 26Håkon EvjenM
  • 7Patrick BergM
  • 14Ulrik SaltnesM
  • 17Ola BrynhildsenM
  • 11Ole Didrik BlombergF
  • 21Andreas HelmersenF
Substitutes
  • 25Isak Dybvik MäättäD
  • 10Jens Petter HaugeM
  • 2Villads NielsenD
  • 77Mikkel Bro HansenF
  • 19Sondre FetM
  • 1Julian LundG
  • 6Jostein GundersenD
  • 8Sondre AuklendM
  • 9Kasper HøghF
Coach: Kjetil Knutsen
Ham-Kam
  • 12Marcus SandbergG
  • 26Patrick MetcalfeD
  • 22Snorre Strand NilsenD
  • 23Fredrik SjolstadD
  • 3Ethan Amundsen-DayD
  • 5Anton EkerothD
  • 6William Osnes-RingenM
  • 14Luc MaresM
  • 17Aksel Baran PoturM
  • 20Julian Bakkeli GonstadF
  • 19Henrik UdahlF
Substitutes
  • 16Anders TrondsenM
  • 28David BenjaminF
  • 4Halvor Rodolen OpsahlD
  • 8Markus JohnsgardM
  • 18Gard SimenstadM
  • 13Sander ØstraatG
  • 7Viðar Ari JónssonM
  • 2Martin GjoneD
Coach: Thomas Myhre

Form going into Bodo/Glimt vs Ham-Kam

Bodo/Glimt

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0Fredrikstad17 July 2026

Ham-Kam

All competitions we cover

  • L1-4Tromso18 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Bodo/Glimt2418245821+3756
12Ham-Kam2475123351-1826

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Bodo/Glimt vs Ham-Kam

  • 3 August 2025Ham-Kam 1–3 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
  • 5 April 2025Bodo/Glimt 3–0 Ham-KamEliteserien
  • 13 September 2024Bodo/Glimt 3–0 Ham-KamEliteserien
  • 20 May 2024Ham-Kam 1–0 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
  • 3 September 2023Ham-Kam 4–4 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien

Leading scorers: Bodo/Glimt and Ham-Kam

Bodo/Glimt

GoalsAssists

  • A. Helmersen121
  • K. Høgh74

Ham-Kam

No player in Eliteserien's leading scorers — 33 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Bodo/Glimt beat Ham-Kam 3–0. The model had made a win for Bodo/Glimt its most likely outcome, at 82%, so the call held; the score it named was 3–1. The goals: Andreas Helmersen 24' for Bodo/Glimt, Andreas Helmersen 50' for Bodo/Glimt, Patrick Berg 75' for Bodo/Glimt. On expected goals it finished 2.35–0.30.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.