Olympiakos Piraeus vs OFI Super League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Olympiakos Piraeus 0-1 OFI.
Before kick-off the model made it 53% Olympiakos Piraeus, 26% draw, 21% OFI — fair odds of 1.89, 3.85 and 4.76. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Greek Super League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Olympiakos Piraeus at 53% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Olympiakos Piraeus vs OFI
Line-ups
- 1S. OrtegaG
- 27M. PedersenD
- 45P. RetsosD
- 5L. PirolaD
- 71N. TiknizyanD
- 15G. PuertaM
- 19R. FreulerM
- 20Jota SilvaM
- 22ChiquinhoM
- 7K. FortounisM
- 34A. GonzálezF
- 8Gustavo SáM
- 32S. HezzeM
- 17L. BaileyF
- 10Gelson MartinsM
- 90ClaytonF
- 14Dani GarcíaM
- 11R. YaremchukF
- 4Z. SmajlovićD
- 2M. SaliakasD
- 31N. ChristogeorgosG
- 5K. KostoulasD
- 15A. PoungourasD
- 43D. NikolaouD
- 24L. DickmannM
- 14T. AndroutsosM
- 41A. BouchalakisM
- 3N. AthanasiouM
- 11T. FountasM
- 10Aitor CantalapiedraM
- 19K. KodroF
- 90Pavlos KenourgiakisD
- 30T. RomanoF
- 18T. NussF
- 1K. LiloG
- 2K. KrizmanićD
- 13P. KatsikasG
- 6Z. KarachaliosM
- 8G. KanellópoulosM
- 17Borja GonzálezD
Form going into Olympiakos Piraeus vs OFI
Olympiakos Piraeus
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Volos NFC5 September 2026
- W1-0away to Asteras Tripolis30 August 2026
- W1-0Atromitos22 August 2026
- L1-2away to NEC Nijmegen11 August 2026
- D0-0NEC Nijmegen4 August 2026
OFI
All competitions we cover
- W2-0Kifisia6 September 2026
- L1-2away to Aris Thessalonikis30 August 2026
- W2-0away to CSKA Sofia27 August 2026
- W2-0Volos NFC23 August 2026
- W3-0CSKA Sofia20 August 2026
What these results say
- Olympiakos Piraeus scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Olympiakos Piraeus had two goals or fewer.
- OFI scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- OFI won 4 of these 5 matches.
- OFI kept a clean sheet in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Super League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | +10 | 19 |
| 6 | OFI | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Olympiakos Piraeus vs OFI
- 14 March 2026OFI 0–3 Olympiakos PiraeusSuper League 1
- 3 January 2026Olympiakos Piraeus 3–0 OFISuper Cup
- 6 December 2025Olympiakos Piraeus 3–0 OFISuper League 1
- 17 May 2025OFI 0–2 Olympiakos PiraeusCup
- 9 March 2025Olympiakos Piraeus 1–0 OFISuper League 1
Leading scorers: Olympiakos Piraeus and OFI
Olympiakos Piraeus
GoalsAssists
- Jota Silva51
OFI
GoalsAssists
- T. Nuss31
- K. Kodro30
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
OFI won 1–0 at Olympiakos Piraeus. The model had leaned towards a win for Olympiakos Piraeus at 53% and given a win for OFI 21%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goal: Kenan Kodro 66' for OFI.
How the call on Olympiakos Piraeus v OFI has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 59% / 24% / 17% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 53% / 26% / 21%: the biggest move is Olympiakos Piraeus's chance of winning, down 6 points.
- Olympiakos Piraeus win53%▼ −6
- Draw26%▲ +2
- OFI win21%▲ +4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.