19 September 2026, 14:00 UTC

OH Leuven vs RAAL La Louvière Jupiler Pro League prediction & result

Den Dreef, Heverlee
Full time2 – 0

Final score: OH Leuven 2-0 RAAL La Louvière.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% OH Leuven, 28% draw, 32% RAAL La Louvière — fair odds of 2.50, 3.57 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts OH Leuven at 40% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

OH Leuven99%Draw1%RAAL La Louvière0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Wouter Georgeassist: Abdoul Karim Traoré
32'
42'
Salomon Patrick Amougou Nkoa
45'
🔁Matyas Kovacsout: Thierry Lutonda
45'
🔁Marius Courcoulout: Zsombor Gruber
Wouter George
51'
🔁Abdoul Karim Traoréout: William Balikwisha
68'
Birger Verstraete
73'
75'
🔁Mame Ndiaga Wadeout: Elias Filet
75'
🔁Salomon Patrick Amougou Nkoaout: Joël Ito
🔁Wouter Georgeout: Lukasz Lakomy
78'
🔁Roggerio Nyakossiout: Ewoud Pletinckx
78'
Ewoud Pletinckx
78'
82'
Marcos Peano
84'
🔁Anas Tajaouartout: Théo Radelet
88'
Ismaila Cheick Coulibaly
⚽William Balikwishaassist: Davis Opoku
89'
🔁Davis Opokuout: Takuya Ogiwara
90'
🔁Oscar Gil Regañoout: Henok Teklab
90'

Match stats — OH Leuven vs RAAL La Louvière

47%Possession53%
10Shots7
4On target2
3Corners5

Line-ups

OH Leuven 3-5-2
  • 1D. van den HeuvelG
  • 5J. LawrenceD
  • 3N. DussenneD
  • 34R. NyakossiD
  • 27Óscar GilM
  • 6W. GeorgeM
  • 4B. VerstraeteM
  • 8S. SchrijversM
  • 99D. OpokuM
  • 9A. TraoréF
  • 18R. MirisolaF
Substitutes
  • 13K. VromanG
  • 24Ł. ŁakomyM
  • 11H. TeklabM
  • 61O. JochmansG
  • 21W. BalikwishaF
  • 7E. AddaiF
  • 17K. VaesenF
  • 19C. IkwuemesiF
  • 20S. YamadaF
Coach: T. Simons
RAAL La Louvière 3-5-1-1
  • 21M. PeanoG
  • 4W. FayeD
  • 33P. NkoaD
  • 99Y. OkouD
  • 7Máté Krisztián KovácsM
  • 29M. CourcoulM
  • 48I. CoulibalyM
  • 78A. TajaouartM
  • 18S. DelosM
  • 10M. WadeM
  • 11M. UbandomaF
Substitutes
  • 9E. FiletF
  • 90L. RousseauF
  • 5T. LutondaD
  • 23J. ItoM
  • 44M. BoukamirD
  • 25D. LamegoD
  • 22S. GourvilleD
  • 91T. RadeletG
  • 30Z. GruberF
Coach: Edward Still

Form going into OH Leuven vs RAAL La Louvière

OH Leuven

Jupiler Pro League

  • D1-1Cercle Brugge12 September 2026
  • L0-3away to SK Beveren6 September 2026

RAAL La Louvière

Jupiler Pro League

  • W3-0Kortrijk13 September 2026
  • L0-4away to St. Truiden5 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
16OH Leuven9135816-86
14RAAL La Louvière92161118-77

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: OH Leuven vs RAAL La Louvière

  • 27 December 2025RAAL La Louvière 0–0 OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
  • 20 September 2025OH Leuven 1–2 RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League

Leading scorers: OH Leuven and RAAL La Louvière

OH Leuven

No player in Jupiler Pro League's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.

RAAL La Louvière

GoalsAssists

  • M. Ubandoma50

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

OH Leuven beat RAAL La Louvière 2–0. The model had made a win for OH Leuven its most likely outcome, at 40%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Wouter George 32' for OH Leuven, William Balikwisha 89' for OH Leuven. Sent off: Marcos Peano (RAAL La Louvière) 82'.

How the call on OH Leuven v RAAL La Louvière has moved

First published on 5 Sep at 42% / 30% / 28% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 40% / 28% / 32%: the biggest move is RAAL La Louvière's chance of winning, up 4 points.

  1. OH Leuven win40%▼ −2
  2. Draw28%▼ −2
  3. RAAL La Louvière win32%▲ +4

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.