Lommel United vs KV Mechelen Jupiler Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Lommel United 0-0 KV Mechelen.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Lommel United, 31% draw, 29% KV Mechelen — fair odds of 2.50, 3.23 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Lommel United at 40% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Lommel United vs KV Mechelen
Line-ups
- 23Matthias PieklakG
- 2J. van DuivenD
- 3T. EyomaD
- 8N. RommensD
- 4S. AdewoyeD
- 6J. PelupessyM
- 7J. TalvitieM
- 15L. SchoofsM
- 10T. ReynersM
- 11S. AppuahM
- 9Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah KonaduF
- 60Lars Beirinckx
- 46Niek CorthoutsF
- 47T. GooijerD
- 22Đ. GordićM
- 1N. IvezićG
- 12E. OdedeF
- 73A. ReumersF
- 17E. VandecraenD
- 44I. Dada-MascollM
- 13Nacho MirásG
- 2L. MarijnissenD
- 44M. EerdhuijzenD
- 3José MarsàD
- 23S. MichezM
- 6F. HammarM
- 26D. PraetM
- 7T. KoudouM
- 17C. Van MeirvenneM
- 9M. van BrederodeM
- 28Bouke BoersmaF
- 1O. De WolfG
- 14B. RamanF
- 39M. DecoeneM
- 30Marco DecherfM
- 20K. CorbanieD
- 11B. BafdiliM
- 29B. AntonioF
- 10M. KireevM
- 19M. Lohunanu-MbasiF
Form going into Lommel United vs KV Mechelen
Lommel United
Jupiler Pro League
- L0-5away to Union St. Gilloise12 September 2026
- L0-1Club Brugge KV4 September 2026
KV Mechelen
Jupiler Pro League
- L0-1Anderlecht11 September 2026
- L0-4KVC Westerlo5 September 2026
- D2-2away to RAAL La Louvière29 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lommel United | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
| 15 | KV Mechelen | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Lommel United vs KV Mechelen
- 23 March 2023KV Mechelen 0–4 Lommel UnitedFriendlies Clubs
- 3 March 2019Lommel United 1–1 KV MechelenChallenger Pro League
- 17 November 2018KV Mechelen 3–2 Lommel UnitedChallenger Pro League
- 29 September 2018Lommel United 0–3 KV MechelenChallenger Pro League
- 17 August 2018KV Mechelen 1–2 Lommel UnitedChallenger Pro League
Leading scorers: Lommel United and KV Mechelen
Lommel United
GoalsAssists
- Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu31
KV Mechelen
No player in Jupiler Pro League's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Lommel United and KV Mechelen drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Lommel United at 40% and given a draw 31%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.