Gent vs Standard Liege Jupiler Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Gent 2-1 Standard Liege.
Before kick-off the model made it 52% Gent, 27% draw, 21% Standard Liege — fair odds of 1.92, 3.70 and 4.76. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Jupiler Pro League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Gent at 52% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Gent vs Standard Liege
Line-ups
- 33D. RoefG
- 5M. NgomD
- 16C. BurgessD
- 44S. Van der HeydenD
- 57M. VolckaertM
- 27T. De VliegerM
- 17M. Delorge-KnieperM
- 20Tiago AraújoM
- 7M. BalikwishaM
- 11M. SonkoM
- 47J. Y. Vergara OrtegaF
- 45B. GooreF
- 37A. KadriM
- 3M. PaskotšiD
- 30K. PeersmanG
- 59E. SeckF
- 14Kyrell WilsonF
- 22Leonardo LopesM
- 75I. CisseF
- 39A. AyindéD
- 1M. EpoloG
- 13M. FosseyD
- 20I. KaramokoD
- 25I. HautekietD
- 18H. LawrenceD
- 94C. NielsenM
- 22A. TrouilletM
- 84R. TouzgharM
- 15S. DrammehF
- 10D. Eckert AyensaF
- 11A. AbidF
- 29D. DierckxD
- 17Bernard NgueneF
- 77B. NsimbaF
- 21L. PirardG
- 9A. ZeqiriF
- 23M. IlaimaharitraM
- 80R. FossoM
- 19S. JasperM
- 7T. MohrM
Form going into Gent vs Standard Liege
Gent
Jupiler Pro League
- D1-1away to Genk13 September 2026
- W3-0away to Cercle Brugge6 September 2026
Standard Liege
Jupiler Pro League
- L2-4away to KVC Westerlo12 September 2026
- W1-0Antwerp5 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gent | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 4 | +15 | 25 |
| 9 | Standard Liege | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Gent vs Standard Liege
- 23 January 2026Standard Liege 0–4 GentJupiler Pro League
- 25 October 2025Gent 4–0 Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
- 22 December 2024Standard Liege 0–1 GentJupiler Pro League
- 10 November 2024Gent 5–0 Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
- 18 May 2024Standard Liege 1–4 GentJupiler Pro League
Leading scorers: Gent and Standard Liege
Gent
GoalsAssists
- I. Cisse40
- M. Sonko31
Standard Liege
GoalsAssists
- D. Eckert Ayensa41
- A. Abid32
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Gent beat Standard Liege 2–1. The model had made a win for Gent its most likely outcome, at 52%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Josue Vergara 31' for Gent, Casper Nielsen 45+3' for Standard Liege, Christian Burgess 83' for Gent.
How the call on Gent v Standard Liege has moved
First published on 4 Sep at 49% / 28% / 23% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 52% / 27% / 21%: the biggest move is Gent's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- Gent win52%▲ +3
- Draw27%▼ −1
- Standard Liege win21%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.