Regular Season - 8 · 12 September 2026, 13:00 UTC

Zbrojovka Brno vs Artis Czech Liga prediction & result

Brno
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Zbrojovka Brno 2-1 Artis.

Before kick-off the model made it 50% Zbrojovka Brno, 27% draw, 23% Artis — fair odds of 2.00, 3.70 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

Expected goals: Zbrojovka Brno 1.95, Artis 0.93.

Both teams to score: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%, under 2.5: 45%.

Model confidence: High.

Published · updated

Model insights: Zbrojovka Brno vs Artis

53%
Both teams to score
55%
Over 2.5 goals
45%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines1-1 11%2-0 11%1-0 10%

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Zbrojovka Brno at 50% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Zbrojovka Brno97%Draw3%Artis0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Antonín Vaníček
15'
⚽Lukáš Penxa
41'
45'
🔁Dominik Preislerout: Papalélé
45'
🔁Sacha Komljenovicout: Youssoupha Sanyang
65'
🔁adebayo quadri adediranout: El Hadji Latyr Ndiaye
65'
🔁Albert Labikout: Martin Pospisil
🔁Lukáš Penxaout: Eric Hunal
67'
🔁Štěpán Langerout: Lukas Saal
67'
69'
⚽El Hadji Latyr Ndiayeassist: Martin Pospisil
🔁Tadeáš Vachoušekout: Lucky Ezeh
73'
🔁Antonín Vaníčekout: Soliu Afolabi
76'
79'
🔁Sebastian Boháčout: Dominik Sarapata
🔁Jakub Janetzkyout: Jaromír Zmrhal
86'
🔁Daniel Vasulinout: Denis Granecný
86'
87'
🔁David Šimekout: Adam Carlen
90+1'
Alexis Alégué
Lukas Saal
90+3'
Denis Granecný
90+4'

Match stats — Zbrojovka Brno vs Artis

52%Possession48%
19Shots10
9On target3
5Corners4

Line-ups

Zbrojovka Brno 3-4-3
  • 1A. HrdinaG
  • 39J. KlímaD
  • 26F. VedralD
  • 3Kauan Carneiro KakaD
  • 6Lukáš PenxaM
  • 68J. JanetzkýM
  • 7Š. LangerM
  • 44A. DantéM
  • 10A. VaníčekF
  • 15D. VašulínF
  • 14T. VachoušekF
Substitutes
  • 77L. EzehF
  • 18D. GranečnýD
  • 4E. HunálD
  • 19B. KanakimanaF
  • 11M. RymarenkoF
  • 20L. SaalM
  • 23P. ŠevčíkM
  • 79S. AfolabiM
  • 9O. VelichF
Coach: M. Svědík
Artis 4-2-3-1
  • 29R. KasikG
  • 33N. GlossoaD
  • 4D. PlechatýD
  • 28D. ŠimekD
  • 15E. FullyD
  • 36S. BoháčM
  • 9A. LabíkM
  • 7A. AléguéM
  • 8S. KomljenovicM
  • 27D. PreislerM
  • 6Q. AdediranF
Substitutes
  • 11I. FombaM
  • 2Š. HarazimD
  • 5M. JeřábekD
  • 17PapaléléF
  • 34K. PojeznýD
  • 26M. PospíšilM
  • 90Youssoupha SanyangM
  • 20D. SarapataM
  • 32T. StoppenG
Coach: R. Nadvornik

Form going into Zbrojovka Brno vs Artis

Zbrojovka Brno

  • L0-4away to Slavia Praha5 September 2026
  • W1-0Hradec Králové2 September 2026
  • W3-2Zlin29 August 2026
  • W2-0away to Teplice23 August 2026

Artis

  • L0-3Plzen5 September 2026
  • W2-1away to Pardubice29 August 2026
  • L0-4Sparta Praha22 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Baník Ostrava16 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Czech Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4Zbrojovka Brno85121210+216
14Artis8116718-114

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Zbrojovka Brno vs Artis

  • 12 September 2026Zbrojovka Brno 2–1 ArtisCzech Liga
  • 16 March 2026Zbrojovka Brno 2–0 ArtisFNL
  • 8 August 2025Artis 2–2 Zbrojovka BrnoFNL
  • 19 April 2025Artis 1–4 Zbrojovka BrnoFNL
  • 21 September 2024Zbrojovka Brno 1–1 ArtisFNL
  • 11 May 2024Artis 1–1 Zbrojovka BrnoFNL

Leading scorers: Zbrojovka Brno and Artis

Zbrojovka Brno

  • D. Vašulín4 goals
  • A. Vaníček3 goals1 assists

Artis

No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Expected against actual

Pre-match the model expected 1.95 goals for Zbrojovka Brno and 0.93 for Artis; the game produced 2 and 1.

Goals

Scorers, in order: Antonín Vaníček 15' (Zbrojovka Brno), Lukáš Penxa 41' (Zbrojovka Brno), El Hadji Latyr Ndiaye 69' (Artis).

How this was produced

Publicly tracked record so far: 1151 correct results out of 2437 settled predictions (47%), with 230 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.

Full method: how the model works.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Zbrojovka Brno the highest probability at 50%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.95 expected goals for Zbrojovka Brno against 0.93 for Artis. Zbrojovka Brno's attack/defence rating is 0.68/1.23 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.63/1.76 for Artis.