Regular Season - 8 · 12 September 2026, 13:00 UTC

Bohemians 1905 vs Slovácko Czech Liga prediction & result

Dolicek, Prague
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Bohemians 1905 2-0 Slovácko.

Before kick-off the model made it 45% Bohemians 1905, 30% draw, 25% Slovácko — fair odds of 2.22, 3.33 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0 (13%).

Expected goals: Bohemians 1905 1.56, Slovácko 0.88.

Both teams to score: 47%. Over 2.5 goals: 44%, under 2.5: 56%.

Model confidence: Medium.

Published · updated

Model insights: Bohemians 1905 vs Slovácko

47%
Both teams to score
44%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines1-0 13%1-1 13%2-0 11%

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Bohemians 1905 at 45% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Bohemians 190598%Draw2%Slovácko0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

12'
Jocelin Behiratche
⚽Ladislav Almásiassist: Vojtech Smrz
19'
•Ladislav Almási
19'
•Aleš Čermák
43'
45'
🔁Pavel Juroskaout: Gibril Sosseh
45'
🔁Filip Horskyout: J. Fiala
🔁Vojtech Smrzout: Šimon Černý
64'
68'
🔁Martin Sviderskyout: Patrik Blahut
🔁Dominik Javorcekout: David Heidenreich
71'
🔁Jan Matoušekout: Ladislav Krobot
71'
74'
🔁Tihomir Kostadinovout: Lukas Vorlicky
David Lischka
76'
🔁Ladislav Almásiout: Václav Pilař
80'
🔁Aleš Čermákout: S. Obinaiia
81'
85'
🔁Marek Havlíkout: Adam Alabi
S. Obinaiia
85'
⚽Šimon Černýassist: Roman Kvet
90'

Match stats — Bohemians 1905 vs Slovácko

63%Possession37%
19Shots4
8On target0
6Corners3

Line-ups

Bohemians 1905 3-4-2-1
  • 23T. FrühwaldG
  • 24M. HavelD
  • 27D. LischkaD
  • 3Matej KadlecD
  • 32P. MirvaldM
  • 47A. ČermákM
  • 42V. SmržM
  • 37D. JavorčekM
  • 10J. MatoušekM
  • 16R. KvětM
  • 99L. AlmásiF
Substitutes
  • 15M. BandaD
  • 70Simon CernyM
  • 8D. HeidenreichD
  • 25P. KareemD
  • 19J. KovaříkM
  • 9L. KrobotF
  • 62S. ObinayaM
  • 11V. PilařM
  • 71J. ŠimanG
Coach: J. Veselý
Slovácko 3-4-2-1
  • 29M. HečaG
  • 21Š. SlončíkD
  • 22J. BehiratcheD
  • 4A. StojchevskiD
  • 2Gigli NdefeM
  • 26T. KostadinovM
  • 10M. TrávníkM
  • 6M. ŠviderskýM
  • 20M. HavlíkM
  • 77P. JuroškaM
  • 11F. HorskýF
Substitutes
  • 72L. VorlickýM
  • 16G. SossehM
  • 30D. PuškáčF
  • 9A. MarinelliF
  • 19Tomáš KrálD
  • 34P. HalouskaG
  • 18J. FialaF
  • 27A. DolžnikovM
  • 15P. BlahútM
Coach: J. Jelinek

Form going into Bohemians 1905 vs Slovácko

Bohemians 1905

  • L0-3away to Sigma Olomouc5 September 2026
  • D1-1FK Jablonec2 September 2026
  • D2-2away to Slavia Praha22 August 2026
  • W2-0away to Zlin8 August 2026

Slovácko

  • D0-0Pardubice5 September 2026
  • D1-1away to Plzen30 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Mlada Boleslav22 August 2026
  • L1-2Sigma Olomouc15 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Czech Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11Bohemians 1905723289-19
15Slovácko8035514-93

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Bohemians 1905 vs Slovácko

  • 12 September 2026Bohemians 1905 2–0 SlováckoCzech Liga
  • 14 February 2026Slovácko 1–2 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga
  • 14 September 2025Bohemians 1905 1–0 SlováckoCzech Liga
  • 30 November 2024Bohemians 1905 3–3 SlováckoCzech Liga
  • 3 August 2024Slovácko 0–0 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga
  • 9 December 2023Slovácko 5–2 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga

Leading scorers: Bohemians 1905 and Slovácko

Bohemians 1905

  • L. Almási3 goals

Slovácko

No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 5 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Expected against actual

Pre-match the model expected 1.56 goals for Bohemians 1905 and 0.88 for Slovácko; the game produced 2 and 0.

Goals

Scorers, in order: Ladislav Almási 19' (Bohemians 1905), Šimon Černý 90' (Bohemians 1905).

How this was produced

Publicly tracked record so far: 1151 correct results out of 2437 settled predictions (47%), with 230 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.

Full method: how the model works.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Bohemians 1905 the highest probability at 45%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.56 expected goals for Bohemians 1905 against 0.88 for Slovácko. Bohemians 1905's attack/defence rating is 0.8/1.2 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.61/1.2 for Slovácko.