OFI vs CSKA Sofia UEFA Europa League prediction & result
Final score: OFI 3-0 CSKA Sofia.
Before kick-off the model made it 46% OFI, 30% draw, 24% CSKA Sofia — fair odds of 2.17, 3.33 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts OFI at 46% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 1,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — OFI vs CSKA Sofia
Line-ups
- 31N. ChristogeorgosG
- 5K. KostoulasD
- 16C. SielisD
- 15A. PoungourasD
- 21I. ApostolakisM
- 14A. AndroutsosM
- 41A. BouchalakisM
- 3N. AthanasiouM
- 11T. FountasF
- 18T. NussM
- 10A. CantalapiedraM
- 1K. LiloG
- 13P. KatsikasG
- 2K. KrizmanicD
- 6Z. KarachaliosM
- 8G. KanellopoulosM
- 9A. Leya IsekaF
- 17B. GonzalezD
- 24L. DickmannD
- 30T. RomanoF
- 21F. LapoukhovG
- 2PastorD
- 14T. IvanovD
- 32F. RodriguezD
- 19A. YordanovD
- 7M. EbongM
- 5J. GbaminD
- 8S. SensiM
- 99J. Eto'oM
- 9L. GodoyF
- 28I. PittasF
- 25D. EvtimovG
- 3T. OuorouD
- 6B. JordaoM
- 10J. ZwartsF
- 11M. BrahimiM
- 30P. PanayotovM
- 34V. KaymakanovM
- 38Leo PereiraM
- 67C. ItuM
Form going into OFI vs CSKA Sofia
OFI
No earlier matches on record this season.
CSKA Sofia
- W5-0Botev Vratsa16 August 2026
- L1-3Maccabi Tel Aviv13 August 2026
- W3-0away to Septemvri Sofia9 August 2026
- W3-0away to Maccabi Tel Aviv6 August 2026
- W2-1Dunav Ruse2 August 2026
What these results say
- CSKA Sofia scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for CSKA Sofia had three goals or more.
- CSKA Sofia won 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
OFI and CSKA Sofia in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | OFI | UEFA Europa League | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia | First League | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 7 | +17 | 24 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: UEFA Europa League · First League
Leading scorers: OFI and CSKA Sofia
OFI
- Aitor Cantalapiedra1 goal
CSKA Sofia
- Bruno Jordão1 goal
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.