CSKA Sofia vs OFI UEFA Europa League prediction & result
Final score: CSKA Sofia 0-2 OFI.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% CSKA Sofia, 29% draw, 34% OFI — fair odds of 2.70, 3.45 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts CSKA Sofia at 37% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 2,313 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — CSKA Sofia vs OFI
Line-ups
- 21F. LapoukhovG
- 2PastorD
- 5J. GbaminD
- 6B. JordaoM
- 14T. IvanovD
- 17A. MartinoD
- 67C. ItuM
- 99J. Eto'oM
- 7M. EbongM
- 28I. PittasF
- 9L. GodoyF
- 31D. NikolovG
- 25D. EvtimovG
- 19A. YordanovD
- 32F. RodriguezD
- 91A. TunchevD
- 3T. OuorouD
- 94I. SoletM
- 30P. PanayotovM
- 80G. B. ChorbadzhiyskiM
- 31N. ChristogeorgosG
- 16C. SielisD
- 15A. PoungourasD
- 43D. NikolaouD
- 24L. DickmannD
- 14A. AndroutsosM
- 41A. BouchalakisM
- 3N. AthanasiouM
- 11T. FountasF
- 18T. NussM
- 10A. CantalapiedraM
- 13P. KatsikasG
- 1K. LiloG
- 17B. GonzalezD
- 2K. KrizmanicD
- 90P. KenourgiakisD
- 8G. KanellopoulosM
- 91E. ChnarisM
- 6Z. KarachaliosM
- 21I. ApostolakisM
Form going into CSKA Sofia vs OFI
CSKA Sofia
- L0-3away to OFI20 August 2026
- W5-0Botev Vratsa16 August 2026
- L1-3Maccabi Tel Aviv13 August 2026
- W3-0away to Septemvri Sofia9 August 2026
- W3-0away to Maccabi Tel Aviv6 August 2026
OFI
- W3-0CSKA Sofia20 August 2026
What these results say
- Every one of these 5 matches for CSKA Sofia had three goals or more.
- CSKA Sofia scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
CSKA Sofia and OFI in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | CSKA Sofia | First League | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 7 | +17 | 24 |
| 9 | OFI | UEFA Europa League | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: First League · UEFA Europa League
Head-to-head: CSKA Sofia vs OFI
- 20 August 2026OFI 3–0 CSKA SofiaUEFA Europa League
Previous meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026 — any earlier meeting between these clubs is not listed here.
Leading scorers: CSKA Sofia and OFI
CSKA Sofia
- Bruno Jordão1 goal
OFI
- Aitor Cantalapiedra1 goal
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.