20 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

Trabzonspor vs Ferencvarosi TC UEFA Europa League prediction & result

Papara Park, Trabzon
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Trabzonspor 0-1 Ferencvarosi TC.

Before kick-off the model made it 46% Trabzonspor, 32% draw, 22% Ferencvarosi TC — fair odds of 2.17, 3.13 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Trabzonspor at 46% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 1,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Trabzonspor0%Draw4%Ferencvarosi TC96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

17'
⚽K. Zachariassenassist: O. Nagy
29'
Yusuf Bamidele
43'
Kristoffer Zachariassen
🔁B. Bouchouariout: R. Malinovskyi
46'
🔁U. Nayirout: A. Simsir
46'
50'
Olivér Nagy
61'
🔁Deleout: A. Nagy
61'
🔁P. Rommensout: G. Kanichowsky
🔁N. Savioloout: E. Muci
64'
78'
🔁K. Zachariassenout: A. Osvath
78'
🔁L. Josephout: K. Lisztes
🔁W. Pinaout: M. Eskihellac
83'
89'
Attila Osváth
89'
🔁Caduout: N. Zohore
Chibuike Nwaiwu
90+6'
90+1'
Gabi Kanichowsky

Match stats — Trabzonspor vs Ferencvarosi TC

66%Possession34%
3On target4
7Corners5

Line-ups

Trabzonspor 4-2-3-1
  • 24A. OnanaG
  • 20W. PinaD
  • 27C. NwaiwuD
  • 39C. OzkacarD
  • 55S. Lopes CabralD
  • 8B. BouchouariM
  • 57M. KabasakalM
  • 10M. SalahM
  • 14U. NayirF
  • 70N. SavioloM
  • 30P. OnuachuF
Substitutes
  • 1A. YildirimG
  • 25O. CevikkanG
  • 4S. AkaydinD
  • 15S. SavicD
  • 11O. TufanM
  • 17R. MalinovskyiM
  • 19M. EskihellacD
  • 77M. MimarogluM
  • 49R. MitongoF
Coach: Fatih Tekke
Ferencvarosi TC 4-4-2
  • 90D. DibuszG
  • 54O. NagyD
  • 4M. GomezD
  • 28T. RaemaekersD
  • 20CaduM
  • 16K. ZachariassenM
  • 88P. RommensM
  • 17M. CorbuM
  • 47C. O'DowdaM
  • 11DeleF
  • 75L. JosephF
Substitutes
  • 1A. VargaG
  • 14A. OsvathM
  • 5N. ZohoreD
  • 71C. LakatosD
  • 76K. LisztesF
  • 6A. NagyM
  • 36G. KanichowskyM
  • 24K. KodroF
  • 15D. ArzaniM
Coach: Balazs Borbely

Form going into Trabzonspor vs Ferencvarosi TC

Trabzonspor

  • D1-1away to Kasımpaşa15 August 2026

Ferencvarosi TC

  • D1-1away to Gornik Zabrze13 August 2026
  • W1-0Gornik Zabrze5 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Trabzonspor and Ferencvarosi TC in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
7TrabzonsporSüper Lig6312135+810
6Ferencvarosi TCUEFA Europa League110031+23

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Süper Lig · UEFA Europa League

Head-to-head: Trabzonspor vs Ferencvarosi TC

  • 3 November 2022Trabzonspor 1–0 Ferencvarosi TCUEFA Europa League
  • 8 September 2022Ferencvarosi TC 3–2 TrabzonsporUEFA Europa League

Leading scorers: Trabzonspor and Ferencvarosi TC

Trabzonspor

  • Mohamed Salah7 goals2 assists
  • P. Onuachu2 goals

Ferencvarosi TC

  • B. Yusuf1 goal2 assists
  • K. Zachariassen1 goal1 assist
  • D. Arzani1 goal

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.