20 August 2026, 16:00 UTC

Jagiellonia vs FC Iberia 1999 UEFA Europa League prediction & result

Chorten Arena, Bialystok
Full time4 – 0

Final score: Jagiellonia 4-0 FC Iberia 1999.

Before kick-off the model made it 79% Jagiellonia, 13% draw, 8% FC Iberia 1999 — fair odds of 1.27, 7.69 and 12.50. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 3-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Jagiellonia at 79% here. Across 3,018 settled matches (as of 4 October 2026), 279 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.4%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Yuki Kobayashi
11'
⚽Jesús Imaz (pen)
32'
32'
Abdullahi Ibrahim Alhassan
⚽J. Imaz (pen)
34'
⚽J. Agbonifoassist: N. Wojtuszek
45'
49'
Giorgi Kobuladze
🔁J. Agbonifoout: O. Sow
59'
61'
Vahid Selimović
⚽I. Alhassan (OG)assist: G. Montoia
62'
66'
🔁I. Alhassanout: G. Kutsia
🔁J. Imazout: S. Lozano
70'
70'
🔁S. Endeout: A. Dzagania
71'
Nikoloz Dadiani
🔁N. Prelecout: Y. Sylla
80'
🔁K. Szmytout: R. Conceicao
80'
80'
🔁G. Kobuladzeout: S. Figueredo
80'
🔁N. Dadianiout: E. Kuliyev
80'
🔁A. Amisulashviliout: N. Bochorishvili
81'
Eldar Kuliiev
⚽S. Lozanoassist: R. Conceicao
90'

Match stats — Jagiellonia vs FC Iberia 1999

49%Possession51%
8On target7
4Corners6

Line-ups

Jagiellonia 4-3-3
  • 50S. AbramowiczG
  • 15N. WojtuszekD
  • 5B. VitalD
  • 4Y. KobayashiD
  • 23G. MontoiaD
  • 11J. ImazM
  • 6T. RomanczukM
  • 19A. KlyngeM
  • 10J. AgbonifoM
  • 99N. PrelecF
  • 7K. SzmytM
Substitutes
  • 1M. PerchelG
  • 2C. PolakM
  • 8D. DrachalM
  • 9D. RallisF
  • 17Y. SyllaF
  • 21S. LozanoM
  • 27R. ConceicaoD
  • 30O. SowM
  • 44A. KonstantopoulosD
Coach: Adrian Siemieniec
FC Iberia 1999 4-3-3
  • 31G. MakaridzeG
  • 5J. JinjolavaD
  • 4V. SelimovicD
  • 25A. AmisulashviliD
  • 40G. KobuladzeD
  • 6N. DadianiM
  • 14I. AlhassanM
  • 8B. KardavaM
  • 17S. EndeF
  • 19N. SikharulashviliM
  • 10Z. NatchkebiaM
Substitutes
  • 1T. MegrelishviliG
  • 9A. DzaganiaF
  • 22S. FigueredoD
  • 23E. KuliyevM
  • 27G. KutsiaM
  • 29L. ChikhradzeF
  • 30N. BochorishviliD
  • 32D. GogilashviliM
  • 35S. AvdoeviM
Coach: Andriy Demchenko

Form going into Jagiellonia vs FC Iberia 1999

Jagiellonia

  • D1-1away to Rangers13 August 2026
  • W2-1Rangers6 August 2026

FC Iberia 1999

  • W2-1Larne11 August 2026
  • D0-0away to Larne4 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Slovan Bratislava29 July 2026
  • L0-2Slovan Bratislava21 July 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Jagiellonia and FC Iberia 1999 in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
21JagielloniaUEFA Europa League100112-10
4FC Iberia 1999Erovnuli Liga2714493830+846

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: UEFA Europa League · Erovnuli Liga

Leading scorers: Jagiellonia and FC Iberia 1999

Jagiellonia

  • K. Szmyt1 goal

FC Iberia 1999

No player in Erovnuli Liga's leading scorers — 38 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.