19 September 2026, 15:00 UTC

OFI vs Asteras Tripolis Super League 1 prediction & result

Pankritio Stadium, Heraklion
Full time2 – 2

Final score: OFI 2-2 Asteras Tripolis.

Before kick-off the model made it 34% OFI, 29% draw, 37% Asteras Tripolis — fair odds of 2.94, 3.45 and 2.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Asteras Tripolis at 37% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

OFI0%Draw4%Asteras Tripolis96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Giannis Apostolakisassist: Andreas Bouchalakis
18'
24'
⚽Federico Machedaassist: Alejandro·Mendez Garcia
30'
Dimitrios Laskaris
Borja González
48'
50'
⚽Kalvin Ketu
🔁Giannis Apostolakisout: Nikolaos Athanasiou
58'
🔁Aaron Leya Isekaout: Kenan Kodro
58'
🔁Anastasios Chatzigiovanisout: Taxiarchis Fountas
58'
59'
Federico Macheda
Thiago Nuss
65'
🔁Thiago Nussout: Aitor Cantalapiedra
66'
72'
🔁Federico Machedaout: Ricardo Viana Filho
76'
•Julián Bartolo
Georgios Kanellopoulos
78'
🔁Borja Gonzálezout: Lorenzo Dickmann
81'
83'
🔁Julián Bartoloout: bruno perez
90+4'
🔁Kalvin Ketuout: Alexandros Tereziou
⚽Nikolaos Athanasiouassist: Krešimir Krizmanić
90+5'

Match stats — OFI vs Asteras Tripolis

64%Possession36%
17Shots7
6On target3
5Corners2

Line-ups

OFI 3-4-2-1
  • 31N. ChristogeorgosG
  • 5K. KostoulasD
  • 15A. PoungourasD
  • 2K. KrizmanićD
  • 17Borja GonzálezM
  • 8G. KanellópoulosM
  • 41A. BouchalakisM
  • 21G. ApostolakisM
  • 7T. ChatzigiovanisM
  • 18T. NussM
  • 9A. LeyaF
Substitutes
  • 10Aitor CantalapiedraF
  • 24L. DickmannD
  • 11T. FountasF
  • 3N. AthanasiouD
  • 6Z. KarachaliosM
  • 13P. KatsikasG
  • 19K. KodroF
  • 1K. LiloG
  • 43D. NikolaouD
Coach: C. Kontis
Asteras Tripolis 3-4-3
  • 1N. PapadopoulosG
  • 74D. LaskarisD
  • 16F. BrorssonD
  • 32J. SilvaD
  • 27G. KotsirasM
  • 21D. KourbelisM
  • 10Eder GonzálezM
  • 28Alex MéndezM
  • 7J. BartoloF
  • 9F. MachedaF
  • 11K. KetuF
Substitutes
  • 8I. BouzoukisM
  • 14J. ChiccoM
  • 6K. ChrisopoulosD
  • 91T. KakadiarisG
  • 20N. KaltsasF
  • 51Giannis KriarasG
  • 75B. Mbunga KimpiokaF
  • 19F. OrozcoM
  • 44A. PapakanellosM
Coach: G. Antonopoulos

Form going into OFI vs Asteras Tripolis

OFI

Super League 1

  • W1-0away to Olympiakos Piraeus12 September 2026

Asteras Tripolis

Super League 1

  • D1-1AEK Athens FC13 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Super League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6OFI84131312+113
11Asteras Tripolis8134715-86

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: OFI vs Asteras Tripolis

  • 11 January 2026OFI 4–0 Asteras TripolisSuper League 1
  • 7 January 2026OFI 2–0 Asteras TripolisCup
  • 3 November 2025Asteras Tripolis 3–0 OFISuper League 1
  • 26 April 2025OFI 0–2 Asteras TripolisSuper League 1
  • 13 April 2025Asteras Tripolis 2–1 OFISuper League 1

Leading scorers: OFI and Asteras Tripolis

OFI

GoalsAssists

  • T. Nuss31
  • K. Kodro30

Asteras Tripolis

GoalsAssists

  • F. Macheda21

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.