Atromitos vs Kifisia Super League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Atromitos 1-2 Kifisia.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% Atromitos, 29% draw, 27% Kifisia — fair odds of 2.27, 3.45 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Atromitos at 44% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Atromitos vs Kifisia
Line-ups
- 1L. ChoutesiotisG
- 12M. MountesD
- 4D. StavrópoulosD
- 32H. MagnússonD
- 21J. UronenD
- 5T. TsingarasM
- 8S. MoutoussamyM
- 10S. PnevmonidisM
- 7S. ZuberM
- 23S. TsiloulisM
- 9J. PereaF
- 70SerginhoM
- 19Panagiotis TsantilasF
- 44D. TsakmakisD
- 31V. AthanasiouG
- 20S. AbartzidisM
- 33Konstantinos BatosM
- 88S. DiengG
- 6T. KaramanisD
- 30A. KotsisM
- 99M. RamírezG
- 48Tiago MansoD
- 33Hugo SousaD
- 34C. JoliboisD
- 23L. AbandaD
- 28Á. SagalM
- 8Bernardo MartinsM
- 17K. RoukounakisM
- 7J. AntonisseM
- 9Dimitris TheodoridisF
- 6Jorge PomboF
- 15A. AnagnostopoulosG
- 2K. ApostolakisM
- 72A. ChristópoulosF
- 19I. JagneM
- 21Nektarios KaloskamisD
- 18G. KyriopoulosF
- 44Vangelis ManganasM
- 11Jordi MboulaF
- 5A. PetkovD
Form going into Atromitos vs Kifisia
Atromitos
Super League 1
- D1-1away to Iraklis 190812 September 2026
- D1-1Kalamata6 September 2026
Kifisia
Super League 1
- D0-0Levadiakos13 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Super League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Atromitos | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 2 |
| 7 | Kifisia | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Atromitos vs Kifisia
- 12 May 2026Kifisia 0–3 AtromitosSuper League 1
- 8 April 2026Atromitos 0–0 KifisiaSuper League 1
- 7 February 2026Kifisia 0–1 AtromitosSuper League 1
- 1 November 2025Atromitos 1–2 KifisiaSuper League 1
- 20 April 2024Atromitos 1–2 KifisiaSuper League 1
Leading scorers: Atromitos and Kifisia
Atromitos
No player in Super League 1's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.
Kifisia
GoalsAssists
- Jorge Pombo41
- Á. Sagal21
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Kifisia won 2–1 at Atromitos. The model had leaned towards a win for Atromitos at 44% and given a win for Kifisia 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Jorge Pombo 63' for Kifisia, Samuel Moutoussamy 75' for Atromitos, Jorge Pombo (penalty) 85' for Kifisia.
How the call on Atromitos v Kifisia has moved
First published on 5 Sep at 42% / 29% / 29% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 8 updates, it read 44% / 29% / 27%: the biggest move is Atromitos's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Atromitos win44%▲ +2
- Draw29%=
- Kifisia win27%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.