OFI vs 1899 Hoffenheim UEFA Europa League prediction & result
Final score: OFI 2-0 1899 Hoffenheim.
Before kick-off the model made it 29% OFI, 28% draw, 43% 1899 Hoffenheim — fair odds of 3.45, 3.57 and 2.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts 1899 Hoffenheim at 43% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — OFI vs 1899 Hoffenheim
Line-ups
- 31N. ChristogeorgosG
- 5K. KostoulasD
- 15A. PoungourasD
- 2K. KrizmanićD
- 24L. DickmannM
- 14T. AndroutsosM
- 41A. BouchalakisM
- 3N. AthanasiouM
- 11T. FountasF
- 19K. KodroF
- 10Aitor CantalapiedraF
- 17Borja GonzálezD
- 21G. ApostolakisM
- 90Pavlos KenourgiakisD
- 8G. KanellópoulosM
- 6Z. KarachaliosM
- 13P. KatsikasG
- 9A. LeyaF
- 1K. LiloG
- 18T. NussF
- 1O. BaumannG
- 34V. CoufalD
- 5O. KabakD
- 21A. HajdariD
- 39M. RotsD
- 7L. AvdullahuM
- 18W. BurgerM
- 8P. WimmerM
- 17Nathan De CatM
- 10A. HložekM
- 19T. LemperleF
- 37L. PhilippG
- 9Max MoerstedtF
- 28K. MachidaD
- 32Cajetan Benjamin LenzM
- 27A. KramarićF
- 2R. HranáčD
- 15V. GendreyD
- 14A. DaghimF
- 20B. ContéM
Form going into OFI vs 1899 Hoffenheim
OFI
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to Olympiakos Piraeus12 September 2026
- W2-0Kifisia6 September 2026
- L1-2away to Aris Thessalonikis30 August 2026
- W2-0away to CSKA Sofia27 August 2026
- W2-0Volos NFC23 August 2026
1899 Hoffenheim
All competitions we cover
- W2-1VfB Stuttgart12 September 2026
- L2-3Borussia Dortmund5 September 2026
- L2-3away to 1. FC Köln29 August 2026
What these results say
- OFI scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- OFI won 4 of these 5 matches.
- OFI kept a clean sheet in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
UEFA Europa League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | OFI | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 23 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
The result against the call
OFI beat 1899 Hoffenheim 2–0. The model had leaned towards a win for 1899 Hoffenheim at 43% and given a win for OFI 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Aitor Cantalapiedra 30' for OFI, Georgios Kanellopoulos 84' for OFI.
How the call on OFI v 1899 Hoffenheim has moved
First published on 3 Sep at 26% / 28% / 46% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 8 updates, it read 29% / 28% / 43%: the biggest move is OFI's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- OFI win29%▲ +3
- Draw28%=
- 1899 Hoffenheim win43%▼ −3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.