26 September 2026, 18:45 UTC

North Macedonia vs Switzerland UEFA Nations League prediction & result

Nacional Arena Todor Proeski, Skopje
Referee: Daniel Schlager
Full time0 – 3

Final score: North Macedonia 0-3 Switzerland.

Before kick-off the model made it 12% North Macedonia, 22% draw, 66% Switzerland — fair odds of 8.33, 4.55 and 1.52. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Switzerland at 66% here. Across 3,056 settled matches (as of 6 October 2026), 279 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.4%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

North Macedonia0%Draw1%Switzerland99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

22'
⚽Remo Freulerassist: Zeki Amdouni
Bojan Ilievski
36'
41'
⚽Zeki Amdouni
Enis Bardhi
43'
🔁Tihomir Kostadinovout: Dimitar Mitrovski
45'
🔁Elmin Rastoderout: Agon Elezi
45'
•Matej Gashtarov
48'
Matej Gashtarov
49'
🔁Gjoko Zajkovout: Anes Meljichi
56'
🔁Bojan Miovskiout: Azer·Omeragic
56'
63'
🔁Ricardo Rodríguezout: Sascha Britschgi
63'
🔁Johan Manzambiout: Djibril Sow
74'
⚽Zeki Amdouniassist: Zachary Athekame
🔁Bojan Ilievskiout: Andrej Stojchevski
75'
75'
🔁Dan Ndoyeout: Michel Aebischer
75'
🔁Fabian Riederout: Alvyn Sanches
Azer·Omeragic
78'
86'
🔁Zeki Amdouniout: Winsley Boteli Mokango

Match stats — North Macedonia vs Switzerland

42%Possession58%
2Shots23
0On target11
0Corners5

Line-ups

North Macedonia 4-4-2
  • 23S. DimitrievskiG
  • 2Bojan IlievskiD
  • 5G. ZajkovD
  • 6V. MusliuD
  • 3S. HerreraD
  • 18T. KostadinovM
  • 16M. GashtarovM
  • 10E. BardhiM
  • 7E. ElmasM
  • 9B. MiovskiF
  • 11E. RastoderF
Substitutes
  • 15A. EleziM
  • 21J. AtanasovM
  • 19L. DorievF
  • 22H. MaleskiF
  • 20D. MitrovskiM
  • 14M. MladenovskiD
  • 17A. OmeragikjF
  • 8E. AlioskiD
  • 12D. ShishkovskiG
Coach: G. Sedloski
Switzerland 4-2-3-1
  • 1G. KobelG
  • 16Z. AthekameD
  • 4N. ElvediD
  • 5M. AkanjiD
  • 13R. RodríguezD
  • 14A. JashariM
  • 8R. FreulerM
  • 22F. RiederM
  • 9J. ManzambiM
  • 11D. NdoyeM
  • 10Z. AmdouniF
Substitutes
  • 2S. BritschgiD
  • 19Winsley Boteli MokangoF
  • 17C. IttenF
  • 21M. KellerG
  • 7Joël MonteiroF
  • 12Y. MvogoG
  • 23A. SanchesM
  • 6V. SierroM
  • 15D. SowM
Coach: M. Yakin

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4North Macedonia300307-70
1Switzerland330081+79

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: North Macedonia vs Switzerland

  • 26 September 2026North Macedonia 0–3 SwitzerlandUEFA Nations League

Leading scorers: North Macedonia and Switzerland

North Macedonia

No league goals yet this season.

Switzerland

  • Z. Amdouni3 goals1 assist

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.