26 September 2026, 23:15 UTC

Cucuta vs Llaneros Primera A prediction & result

Estadio General Santander
Referee: Jonnathan Ortiz
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Cucuta 2-1 Llaneros.

Before kick-off the model made it 35% Cucuta, 31% draw, 34% Llaneros — fair odds of 2.86, 3.23 and 2.94.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Cucuta at 35%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Cucuta97%Draw3%Llaneros0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 2 sendings-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Jaime Peraltaassist: Gustavo Torres
6'
15'
Howell Mena
33'
Jhon Vasquez
Leider Berdugo
39'
45+2'
Luis Miranda
⚽Leider Berdugo (pen)
45+3'
Jaime Peralta
46'
57'
⚽Yorleys Mena
🔁Gustavo Torresout: Juan Ceballos
64'
64'
🔁Jhon Vasquezout: Daniel Mantilla
64'
🔁Luis Mirandaout: Juan Ramirez
🔁Yair Abonia out: Leison Ochoa
71'
72'
🔁Frank Castanedaout: Joel Jesús Contreras Torres
72'
🔁Marlon Sierraout: Kelvin Osorio
80'
José Luis García Herrera
82'
🔁Neider Ospinaout: Carlos Cortés
🔁Brayan Montanoout: Mauricio Duarte
83'
🔁Leider Berdugoout: Kevin Londoño
83'
🔁Dayan Pérezout: Diego Calcaterra
83'
90+1'
Yorleys Mena
90+4'
Kelvin Osorio
90+4'
Dennys Quintero

Match stats — Cucuta vs Llaneros

34%Possession66%
11Shots21
3On target11
2Corners3

Line-ups

Cucuta 4-3-3
  • 12F. AbadíaG
  • 26Y. AboníaD
  • 2H. LópesD
  • 4J. QuiñónesD
  • 30B. MontañoD
  • 10L. BerdugoM
  • 5V. MejíaM
  • 77NenecoM
  • 20D. GelvezF
  • 9J. PeraltaF
  • 11G. TorresF
Substitutes
  • 8J. CeballosM
  • 32J. AgudeloF
  • 3D. CalcaterraD
  • 27M. DuarteD
  • 16K. LondoñoM
  • 7J. ManyomaM
  • 17L. OchoaD
  • 1J. RamírezG
  • 13Breyner RodríguezM
Coach: N. Chiesa
Llaneros 4-1-4-1
  • 22R. RomañaG
  • 2H. MenaD
  • 26D. QuinteroD
  • 21F. MezaD
  • 94J. MedrandaD
  • 6Marlon Ricardo Sierra ZamoraM
  • 95J. VásquezM
  • 7L. MirandaM
  • 10N. OspinaM
  • 32F. CastañedaM
  • 17Y. MenaF
Substitutes
  • 70J. ContrerasF
  • 9C. CortésF
  • 12J. LoaizaG
  • 19D. MantillaM
  • 23A. MoralezD
  • 33K. OsorioM
  • 8J. RamírezM
Coach: J. García

Form going into Cucuta vs Llaneros

Cucuta

No earlier matches on record this season.

Llaneros

All competitions we cover

  • W2-0Atletico Nacional21 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11Cucuta187381926-724
12Llaneros187292124-323

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Cucuta vs Llaneros

  • 17 March 2026Llaneros 2–2 CucutaPrimera A
  • 11 September 2024Cucuta 0–1 LlanerosPrimera B
  • 31 May 2024Cucuta 1–3 LlanerosPrimera B
  • 26 May 2024Llaneros 2–1 CucutaPrimera B
  • 4 April 2024Llaneros 0–0 CucutaPrimera B

The result against the call

Cucuta beat Llaneros 2–1. The model had made a win for Cucuta its most likely outcome, at 35%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Jaime Peralta 6' for Cucuta, Leider Berdugo (penalty) 45+3' for Cucuta, Yorleys Mena 57' for Llaneros. Sent off: José Luis García Herrera (Llaneros) 80', Dennys Quintero (Llaneros) 90+4'.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.