Viborg
vs
Lyngby
Superliga prediction
The model makes it 48% Viborg, 21% draw, 31% Lyngby — fair odds of 2.08, 4.76 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (8%).
Expected goals: Viborg 2.24, Lyngby 1.80.
Both teams to score: 75%. Over 2.5 goals: 77%, under 2.5: 23%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Viborg
- W2-1Aarhus14 August 2026
- D0-0away to Sonderjyske7 August 2026
- L0-1away to Brondby2 August 2026
- W1-0Odense24 July 2026
Lyngby
- D1-1FC Midtjylland16 August 2026
- L0-2away to Randers FC9 August 2026
- D2-2Aarhus1 August 2026
- L2-3away to FC Copenhagen26 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Viborg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 | Lyngby | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Head-to-head: Viborg vs Lyngby
- 4 May 2025Lyngby 0–0 ViborgSuperliga
- 21 April 2025Viborg 1–1 LyngbySuperliga
- 20 October 2024Lyngby 0–0 ViborgSuperliga
- 26 August 2024Viborg 1–0 LyngbySuperliga
- 20 May 2024Lyngby 3–1 ViborgSuperliga
- 21 April 2024Viborg 2–1 LyngbySuperliga
Leading scorers
Viborg
- M. Søndergaard2 goals
Lyngby
No league goals recorded yet.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Viborg carry a model rating of 6.59 against 6.64 for Lyngby. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
Recent form (most recent last): Viborg W-L-D-W; Lyngby L-D-L-D.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 2.24 goals for Viborg and 1.80 for Lyngby. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Viborg rate 0.83 in attack and 1.40 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Lyngby rate 0.92 and 1.43.
That points to 77% for over two and a half goals and 75% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 480 correct results out of 1000 settled predictions (48%), with 91 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Viborg the highest probability at 48%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.24 expected goals for Viborg against 1.8 for Lyngby. Viborg's attack/defence rating is 0.83/1.4 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.92/1.43 for Lyngby.