11 August 2026, 17:30 UTC

Chippa United vs Richards Bay Premier Soccer League prediction & result

Sisa Dukashe Stadium, Mdantsane
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Chippa United 1-1 Richards Bay.

Before kick-off the model made it 84% Chippa United, 9% draw, 7% Richards Bay — fair odds of 1.19, 11.11 and 14.29.

Most likely scoreline: 4-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Chippa United at 84%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Chippa United11%Draw85%Richards Bay4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

5'
Samkelo Jali
⚽N. Mlotshwaassist: J. Figuareido
23'
Lebohang Tshabalala
44'
🔁L. Tshabalalaout: T. Makara
46'
46'
🔁S. Jaliout: Mthamosi
48'
⚽B. T. Nashixwaassist: Mthamosi
63'
🔁T. Gumedeout: S. Nzama
63'
🔁L. Khumaloout: L. Zikhali
🔁N. Mlotshwaout: A. Bonani
73'
🔁A. Matroseout: D. Diakite
73'
🔁I. Jonesout: B. Dlamini
88'
88'
🔁N. Xuluout: N. Bomelo
88'
🔁S. Barnsout: W. Ngema
🔁B. Madingwaneout: K. Mfecane
90+5'

Match stats — Chippa United vs Richards Bay

54%Possession46%
11Shots10
2On target3
5Corners4
0.76xG0.45

Goals against chances

Chippa United1 from 0.76 xGabout what the chances were worth
Richards Bay1 from 0.45 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Chippa United 4-4-1-1
  • 23S. NwabaliG
  • 28B. MadingwaneD
  • 35H. MajadiboduD
  • 22A. MobaraD
  • 31I. JonesD
  • 10A. MatroseM
  • 21S. SeabiM
  • 20G. MoseleM
  • 7J. FiguareidoM
  • 34L. TshabalalaF
  • 29N. MlotshwaF
Substitutes
  • 32D. MsibiG
  • 50B. SamD
  • 26B. DlaminiM
  • 37T. MakaraD
  • 4S. Mbhele
  • 15A. TshobeniM
  • 8K. MfecaneD
  • 9A. BonaniM
  • 27D. Diakite
Coach: Brandon Truter
Richards Bay
  • 1I. Otieno
  • 5T. SikhakhaneD
  • 2S. JaliD
  • 25S. McinekaD
  • 37S. GweleD
  • 20M. MthembuM
  • 45B. T. NashixwaM
  • 30S. BarnsM
  • 77L. KhumaloM
  • 17T. Gumede
  • 27N. XuluF
Substitutes
  • 16N. NgcoboG
  • 22L. MabuyaM
  • 9N. Bomelo
  • 19S. Nzama
  • 8L. Zikhali
  • 35T. Ndelu
  • 33W. NgemaM
  • 15MthamosiD
  • 31O. Mbambo

Premier Soccer League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7Chippa United925267-111
16Richards Bay90361123-123

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Chippa United vs Richards Bay

  • 14 February 2026Chippa United 3–0 Richards BayPremier Soccer League
  • 5 October 2025Richards Bay 4–1 Chippa UnitedLeague Cup
  • 26 August 2025Richards Bay 1–0 Chippa UnitedPremier Soccer League
  • 1 March 2025Richards Bay 0–0 Chippa UnitedPremier Soccer League
  • 21 September 2024Chippa United 1–0 Richards BayPremier Soccer League

Leading scorers: Chippa United and Richards Bay

Chippa United

No player in Premier Soccer League's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.

Richards Bay

GoalsAssists

  • N. Xulu50

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Chippa United and Richards Bay drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Chippa United at 84% and given a draw 9%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 11 matches like this one. The goals: N. Mlotshwa 23' for Chippa United, B. T. Nashixwa 48' for Richards Bay. On expected goals it finished 0.76–0.45.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.