20 September 2026, 14:45 UTC

NEC Nijmegen vs GO Ahead Eagles Eredivisie prediction & result

Stadion de Goffert, Nijmegen
Full time1 – 1

Final score: NEC Nijmegen 1-1 GO Ahead Eagles.

Before kick-off the model made it 39% NEC Nijmegen, 27% draw, 34% GO Ahead Eagles — fair odds of 2.56, 3.70 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts NEC Nijmegen at 39% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

NEC Nijmegen5%Draw90%GO Ahead Eagles5%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Perr Schuursassist: Tjaronn Chery
2'
10'
⚽Stefán Ingi Sigurdarson
31'
Søren Tengstedt
🔁Perr Schuursout: Bram Nuytinck
45'
🔁Kevin Kersout: Adam Tahaui
60'
69'
🔁Alfons Sampstedout: Thibo Baeten
69'
🔁Julius Dirksenout: Giovanni Van Zwam
🔁Noe Lebretonout: Dennis Geiger
71'
🔁Ayodele Thomasout: Jamiro Monteiro
71'
77'
Thibo Baeten
83'
🔁Søren Tengstedtout: Tomas Galvez
89'
🔁Mathis Surayout: Oskar Siira Sivertsen
89'
🔁Victor Kaj Edvardsenout: Yassir Salah Rahmouni

Match stats — NEC Nijmegen vs GO Ahead Eagles

46%Possession54%
17Shots14
5On target6
5Corners7

Line-ups

NEC Nijmegen 3-4-2-1
  • 12N. PolsterG
  • 73Gabriel BrásD
  • 4P. SchuursD
  • 21T. StormD
  • 34Kevin KersM
  • 6D. NejašmićM
  • 20N. LebretonM
  • 77A. ThomasM
  • 9T. CheryM
  • 10D. TadićM
  • 30B. LinssenF
Substitutes
  • 18D. GeigerM
  • 36Freek EntiusG
  • 38Joep GenesteG
  • 8I. Hansen-AarøenM
  • 66Almugera Raouf Mohammed KabarD
  • 35Jamiro MonteiroM
  • 42Y. MoslihD
  • 17B. NuytinckD
  • 14K. SierhuisF
Coach: Dick Schreuder
GO Ahead Eagles 4-2-3-1
  • 1K. HaugG
  • 2A. SampstedD
  • 26J. DirksenD
  • 4J. KramerD
  • 5D. JamesD
  • 21M. MeulensteenM
  • 8E. LinthorstM
  • 10S. TengstedtM
  • 16V. EdvardsenM
  • 17M. SurayM
  • 9S. SigurðarsonF
Substitutes
  • 15R. WeijenbergM
  • 33N. VerdoniG
  • 25G. van ZwamD
  • 11O. SivertsenF
  • 34Y. RahmouniM
  • 3G. NauberD
  • 22N. MarsmanG
  • 18R. MargaretF
  • 6T. JukićD
Coach: J. Oosting

Form going into NEC Nijmegen vs GO Ahead Eagles

NEC Nijmegen

Eredivisie

  • L0-3away to Cambuur12 September 2026

GO Ahead Eagles

Eredivisie

  • D1-1Groningen12 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Eredivisie table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12NEC Nijmegen102531718-111
9GO Ahead Eagles103522323014

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: NEC Nijmegen vs GO Ahead Eagles

  • 17 May 2026NEC Nijmegen 2–1 GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie
  • 5 October 2025GO Ahead Eagles 1–1 NEC NijmegenEredivisie
  • 9 March 2025NEC Nijmegen 2–3 GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie
  • 7 December 2024GO Ahead Eagles 5–0 NEC NijmegenEredivisie
  • 23 May 2024NEC Nijmegen 1–2 GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie

The full NEC Nijmegen vs GO Ahead Eagles record →

Leading scorers: NEC Nijmegen and GO Ahead Eagles

NEC Nijmegen

No player in Eredivisie's leading scorers — 17 league goals as a side.

GO Ahead Eagles

GoalsAssists

  • S. Tengstedt82
  • S. Sigurðarson41

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

NEC Nijmegen and GO Ahead Eagles drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for NEC Nijmegen at 39% and given a draw 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Perr Schuurs 2' for NEC Nijmegen, Stefán Ingi Sigurdarson 10' for GO Ahead Eagles.

How the call on NEC Nijmegen v GO Ahead Eagles has moved

First published on 6 Sep at 47% / 27% / 26% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 39% / 27% / 34%: the biggest move is NEC Nijmegen's chance of winning, down 8 points.

  1. NEC Nijmegen win39%▼ −8
  2. Draw27%=
  3. GO Ahead Eagles win34%▲ +8

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.