Auxerre vs Stade Brestois 29 Ligue 1 prediction & result
Final score: Auxerre 2-1 Stade Brestois 29.
Before kick-off the model made it 34% Auxerre, 30% draw, 36% Stade Brestois 29 — fair odds of 2.94, 3.33 and 2.78. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Ligue 1 (France) predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Stade Brestois 29 at 36% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Auxerre vs Stade Brestois 29
Line-ups
- 23M. DiopG
- 15C. MakossoD
- 4A. TuanzebeD
- 92C. AkpaD
- 27L. SyM
- 46A. PiedfortM
- 5K. DanoisM
- 22F. OppegårdM
- 10D. NamasoF
- 9C. ArcherF
- 3R. Labeau LascaryF
- 8N. AhamadaM
- 20S. DiomandéD
- 34L. DioubateM
- 17P. EkwahM
- 21R. FaivreM
- 93Sékou FofanaD
- 35E. LegrosD
- 32R. MandengueD
- 1P. NardiG
- 1E. SelvikG
- 70K. LalaD
- 71R. Le GuenD
- 4G. LlorisD
- 2B. LockoD
- 13J. ChotardM
- 8H. MagnettiM
- 10G. VersiniM
- 23K. DoumbiaM
- 9P. MboupM
- 19L. AjorqueF
- 39D. N´GuessanF
- 7J. Nonge BoendeM
- 30M. PatouilletG
- 29L. TousartM
- 20L. ZogbeD
- 32L. C. Laine M.M
- 21Ibrahim Yayiya KanteF
- 18J. BourgaultD
- 17Mama BaldéF
Form going into Auxerre vs Stade Brestois 29
Auxerre
Ligue 1
- W1-0Nice12 September 2026
Stade Brestois 29
Ligue 1
- L0-1Paris Saint Germain13 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Auxerre | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 12 | +2 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Auxerre vs Stade Brestois 29
- 21 March 2026Auxerre 3–0 Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1
- 4 January 2026Stade Brestois 29 2–0 AuxerreLigue 1
- 14 February 2025Stade Brestois 29 2–2 AuxerreLigue 1
- 27 September 2024Auxerre 3–0 Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1
- 14 May 2023Stade Brestois 29 1–0 AuxerreLigue 1
Leading scorers: Auxerre and Stade Brestois 29
Auxerre
GoalsAssists
- C. Archer50
- D. Namaso32
Stade Brestois 29
GoalsAssists
- K. Doumbia41
- L. Ajorque31
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Auxerre beat Stade Brestois 29 2–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Stade Brestois 29 at 36% and given a win for Auxerre 34%. The goals: Pathé Mboup 23' for Stade Brestois 29, Cameron Archer 46' for Auxerre, Raphaël Le Guen (own goal) 83' for Auxerre.
How the call on Auxerre v Stade Brestois 29 has moved
First published on 6 Sep at 33% / 29% / 38% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 34% / 30% / 36%: the biggest move is Stade Brestois 29's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Auxerre win34%▲ +1
- Draw30%▲ +1
- Stade Brestois 29 win36%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.