Motherwell vs HJK Helsinki UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: Motherwell 2-0 HJK Helsinki.
Before kick-off the model made it 73% Motherwell, 18% draw, 9% HJK Helsinki — fair odds of 1.37, 5.56 and 11.11.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
The tie
Second leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 3rd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: HJK Helsinki 1–1 Motherwell (6 Aug) →
Motherwell went through 3–1 on aggregate.
All Conference League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Motherwell at 73%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Motherwell vs HJK Helsinki
Line-ups
- 1A. PaulsenG
- 22J. KoutroumbisD
- 3J. Girdwood-ReichD
- 5M. MoormannD
- 45E. LongeloD
- 8L. FadingerM
- 12O. PriestmanM
- 11A. LowryM
- 17R. Charles-CookF
- 19I. SaidM
- 18T. MaswanhiseF
- 4J. Knight-LebelD
- 21Matty ConnellyG
- 23E. WilsonD
- 24L. RossF
- 25O. WhyteM
- 27M. BoothM
- 29Z. McAllister
- 31J. McConnellG
- 32R. Hunter
- 44M. MarkovicG
- 5A. NalloD
- 6V. TikkanenD
- 14L. MontanoD
- 13K. SimojokiD
- 18T. MeroM
- 8P. MentuM
- 29S. HaaralaF
- 4A. RingM
- 7A. CicaleM
- 9M. BorchersF
- 1J. OstG
- 3T. CissokhoD
- 10L. Lingman
- 12M. HaapanenG
- 15J. KallinenM
- 17M. KirilovM
- 20T. PukkiF
- 26L. LappalainenM
- 28M. YlitolvaD
Form going into Motherwell vs HJK Helsinki
Motherwell
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Falkirk9 August 2026
- D1-1away to HJK Helsinki6 August 2026
- W2-1away to Hibernian2 August 2026
- W3-0away to HB Torshavn30 July 2026
- W2-0HB Torshavn23 July 2026
HJK Helsinki
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to AC Oulu9 August 2026
- D1-1Motherwell6 August 2026
- W3-0away to Coleraine FC30 July 2026
- W5-0Coleraine FC23 July 2026
What these results say
- Motherwell went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Motherwell scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- HJK Helsinki went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- HJK Helsinki scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- HJK Helsinki won 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Motherwell and HJK Helsinki in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Motherwell | Premiership | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 13 |
| 2 | HJK Helsinki | Finnish Premier League | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 66 | 39 | +27 | 59 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Premiership · Finnish Premier League
Head-to-head: Motherwell vs HJK Helsinki
- 6 August 2026HJK Helsinki 1–1 MotherwellUEFA Europa Conference League
Previous meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026 — any earlier meeting between these clubs is not listed here.
Leading scorers: Motherwell and HJK Helsinki
Motherwell
GoalsAssists
- A. Lowry31
HJK Helsinki
GoalsAssists
- M. Borchers173
- T. Pukki46
- S. Haarala42
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Motherwell beat HJK Helsinki 2–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Motherwell at 73%. The goals: I. Said 47' for Motherwell, I. Said 60' for Motherwell.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.