13 September 2026, 14:45 UTC

Botev Vratsa vs Levski Sofia First League prediction & result

Hristo Botev Stadium, Vraca
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Botev Vratsa 0-0 Levski Sofia.

Before kick-off the model made it 24% Botev Vratsa, 28% draw, 48% Levski Sofia — fair odds of 4.17, 3.57 and 2.08. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Levski Sofia at 48% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Botev Vratsa3%Draw92%Levski Sofia5%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

46'
🔁Hevertton Ciriaco Santosout: Aldair
56'
🔁Mehdi Moubarikout: bala everton
57'
🔁Juan Pereaout: Armstrong Oko-Flex
66'
🔁Asen Mitkovout: Marko Grujić
🔁Martin Smolenskiout: Kassim Hadji
70'
🔁Vladislav Naydenovout: Martin·Achkov
70'
🔁Martin Detelinov Petkovout: Preslav Borukov
74'
Martin·Achkov
77'
79'
🔁Mazire Soulaout: Mustapha Sangaré
🔁Radoslav Tsonevout: Daniel Genov
82'
🔁Preslav Borukovout: Filip gigov
85'

Match stats — Botev Vratsa vs Levski Sofia

26%Possession74%
4Shots9
2On target1
3Corners7

Line-ups

Botev Vratsa 4-2-3-1
  • 94M. OrlinovG
  • 3S. SanyangD
  • 4I. GoranovF
  • 36M. StoevD
  • 25A. BuchkovD
  • 8A. StoyanovM
  • 12I. YurukovM
  • 24M. SmolenskiM
  • 7R. TsonevM
  • 97V. NaydenovF
  • 79M. PetkovF
Substitutes
  • 98L. VasilevG
  • 17S. MechevF
  • 6A. KichukovM
  • 81K. HadjiM
  • 90F. GigovF
  • 9D. GenovD
  • 10J. GallegosM
  • 21M. DimitrovD
  • 88L. BoyanovD
Coach: Todor Simov
Levski Sofia 4-2-3-1
  • 92S. VutsovG
  • 2Hevertton SantosD
  • 18G. TrdinM
  • 4C. MakounD
  • 20Álex CentellesD
  • 19E. El MoubarikM
  • 35SerginhoM
  • 22M. SoulaM
  • 10A. MitkovM
  • 7ReinaldoF
  • 9J. PereaF
Substitutes
  • 8M. GrujićM
  • 13O. VladimirovG
  • 55P. HristovD
  • 27David KussoF
  • 3MaiconF
  • 21AldairD
  • 11A. Oko-FlexF
  • 16A. RaychevF
  • 12M. SangaréF
Coach: Julio Velázquez

Form going into Botev Vratsa vs Levski Sofia

Botev Vratsa

First League

  • W3-2away to Septemvri Sofia4 September 2026

Levski Sofia

First League

  • W1-0CSKA 19485 September 2026
  • W2-1away to Slavia Sofia2 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

First League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Botev Vratsa122461021-1110
2Levski Sofia11920245+1929

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Botev Vratsa vs Levski Sofia

  • 27 June 2026Levski Sofia 1–1 Botev VratsaFriendlies Clubs
  • 7 February 2026Levski Sofia 3–1 Botev VratsaFirst League
  • 17 August 2025Botev Vratsa 0–0 Levski SofiaFirst League
  • 30 November 2024Botev Vratsa 0–2 Levski SofiaFirst League
  • 7 September 2024Levski Sofia 3–2 Botev VratsaFriendlies Clubs

The result against the call

Botev Vratsa and Levski Sofia drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Levski Sofia at 48% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.