Molde vs KFUM Oslo Eliteserien prediction & result
Final score: Molde 2-0 KFUM Oslo.
Before kick-off the model made it 53% Molde, 26% draw, 21% KFUM Oslo — fair odds of 1.89, 3.85 and 4.76. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Molde at 53% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 872 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Molde vs KFUM Oslo
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 22A. PosiadalaG
- 25M. LinnesD
- 19E. HauganD
- 33B. RisaD
- 26S. KabiniD
- 10E. BreivikM
- 30D. DagaM
- 11C. ZadyM
- 6N. OdegardM
- 21O. Spiten-NysaeterM
- 9J. AbdullaiF
- 12P. LervikG
- 27F. DahlD
- 8M. LovikD
- 55U. SkredeD
- 17M. DaehliM
- 28V. BenderM
- 16S. KilenF
- 20K. LonebuF
- 24T. Kone-DohertyF
- 1E. OdegaardG
- 24H. RostenD
- 5F. BerglieD
- 13B. SkaretD
- 14H. HosethM
- 19E. SaunesM
- 6J. FlatenM
- 16J. HjorthM
- 9M. VinjorF
- 22B. KristensenF
- 18R. E. VingeF
- 25H. JenssenG
- 33A. NouriD
- 42D. HicksonF
- 8B. TobiassenM
- 20M. NajafzadehM
- 21S. SjokvistD
- 10B. NjieF
- 17J. GonstadF
- 29I. SkovsgaardF
Form going into Molde vs KFUM Oslo
Molde
- W4-3away to Valerenga30 August 2026
KFUM Oslo
- L1-4away to Start30 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Molde | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 46 | 34 | +12 | 37 |
| 10 | KFUM Oslo | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 28 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Molde vs KFUM Oslo
- 6 September 2026Molde 2–0 KFUM OsloEliteserien
- 26 July 2026KFUM Oslo 2–4 MoldeEliteserien
- 21 June 2026Molde 5–1 KFUM OsloFriendlies Clubs
- 17 August 2025KFUM Oslo 0–0 MoldeEliteserien
- 29 June 2025Molde 2–3 KFUM OsloEliteserien
- 23 September 2024KFUM Oslo 1–1 MoldeEliteserien
Leading scorers: Molde and KFUM Oslo
Molde
GoalsAssists
- E. Breivik88
- E. Hestad82
- K. Lonebu72
KFUM Oslo
No player in Eliteserien's leading scorers — 27 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.