FC Anyang
vs
Gangwon FC
K League 1 prediction
The model makes it 27% FC Anyang, 22% draw, 51% Gangwon FC — fair odds of 3.70, 4.55 and 1.96. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: FC Anyang 1.49, Gangwon FC 2.09.
Both teams to score: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 69%, under 2.5: 31%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
FC Anyang
- L0-7FC Seoul22 August 2026
- L0-2away to Jeju United FC15 August 2026
- L1-2Daejeon Citizen8 August 2026
- L1-3away to Ulsan Hyundai FC2 August 2026
- W2-1Gangwon FC26 July 2026
Gangwon FC
- W3-2away to Ulsan Hyundai FC16 August 2026
- L0-3Bucheon FC 19951 August 2026
- L1-2away to FC Anyang26 July 2026
- D1-1away to Jeju United FC21 July 2026
- W2-0Gimcheon Sangmu FC18 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FC Anyang | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 30 |
| 4 | Gangwon FC | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 28 | 19 | +9 | 35 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Leading scorers
FC Anyang
- Airton3 goals
Gangwon FC
- A. Halaihal3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
FC Anyang carry a model rating of 6.25 against 6.56 for Gangwon FC. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): FC Anyang W-L-L-L-L; Gangwon FC W-D-L-L-W.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 1.49 goals for FC Anyang and 2.09 for Gangwon FC. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
FC Anyang rate 0.61 in attack and 2.07 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Gangwon FC rate 0.72 and 1.29.
That points to 69% for over two and a half goals and 68% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%).
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives FC Anyang a 0% chance of the title and Gangwon FC 0.5%, from 10000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 542 correct results out of 1143 settled predictions (47%), with 104 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Gangwon FC the highest probability at 51%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.49 expected goals for FC Anyang against 2.09 for Gangwon FC. FC Anyang's attack/defence rating is 0.61/2.07 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.72/1.29 for Gangwon FC.