Mirassol
vs
Remo
Final score: Mirassol 2-1 Remo.
Before kick-off the model made it 54% Mirassol, 24% draw, 22% Remo — fair odds of 1.85, 4.17 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Mirassol 1.80, Remo 1.07.
Both teams to score: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%, under 2.5: 45%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Match stats: Mirassol vs Remo
Mirassol had 54% possession, 8 shots (4 on target), 6 corners, 1.47 expected goals; Remo had 46% possession, 13 shots (2 on target), 3 corners, 0.8 expected goals.
Goals: Marllon (own goal) 30' for Mirassol, Leonel Picco 45+1' for Remo, João Victor 54' for Mirassol.
Head-to-head: Mirassol vs Remo
- 4 February 2026Remo 2–2 MirassolSerie A
- 15 May 2022Remo 3–1 MirassolSerie C
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Mirassol the highest probability at 54%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.8 expected goals for Mirassol against 1.07 for Remo. Mirassol's attack/defence rating is 0.74/1.09 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.7/1.29 for Remo.