Mirassol vs Remo Serie A prediction & result
Final score: Mirassol 2-1 Remo.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% Mirassol, 22% draw, 42% Remo — fair odds of 2.78, 4.55 and 2.38. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Remo at 42% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Mirassol vs Remo
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 90ThomazellaG
- 32Igor FormigaD
- 34João VictorD
- 44Gabriel KnesowitschD
- 6ReinaldoD
- 8DenilsonM
- 5JapaM
- 19Gustavo SilvaM
- 33EduardoM
- 95Edson CariocaM
- 30Bruno SantosF
- 3Willian MachadoD
- 7ShaylonM
- 55Gustavo CazonattiM
- 10ChicoM
- 96Carlos EduardoF
- 23Alex MuralhaG
- 2Lucas OliveiraD
- 12Victor LuisD
- 18EliasD
- 88Marcelo RangelG
- 79MarcelinhoD
- 13MarllonD
- 27Zé IvaldoD
- 77MaykD
- 8PatrickM
- 14Leonel PiccoM
- 22Yago PikachuM
- 55Zé RicardoM
- 11Alef MangaM
- 19Gabriel TaliariF
- 2Matheus AlexandreD
- 7JajáM
- 26David BragaM
- 15Vitor BuenoF
- 9Gabriel PovedaF
- 97IvanG
- 94Ygor VinhasG
- 4Matheus FelipeD
- 5LéoD
Form going into Mirassol vs Remo
Mirassol
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Vasco da Gama25 July 2026
- W2-1Gremio17 July 2026
Remo
All competitions we cover
- W2-0Vitoria26 July 2026
- L0-3away to Corinthians23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Mirassol | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 37 |
| 19 | Remo | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 29 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Mirassol vs Remo
- 4 February 2026Remo 2–2 MirassolSerie A
- 15 May 2022Remo 3–1 MirassolSerie C
Leading scorers: Mirassol and Remo
Mirassol
No player in Serie A's leading scorers — 37 league goals as a side.
Remo
GoalsAssists
- Jája Silva91
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Mirassol beat Remo 2–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Remo at 42% and given a win for Mirassol 36%. The goals: Marllon (own goal) 30' for Mirassol, Leonel Picco 45+1' for Remo, João Victor 54' for Mirassol. On expected goals it finished 1.47–0.80.