29 July 2026, 22:30 UTC

Mirassol vs Remo Serie A prediction & result

Mirassol
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Mirassol 2-1 Remo.

Before kick-off the model made it 36% Mirassol, 22% draw, 42% Remo — fair odds of 2.78, 4.55 and 2.38. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Remo at 42% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Igor Formiga
17'
Gabriel Knesowitsch
21'
⚽Marllon (OG)
30'
45+1'
⚽Leonel Picco
🔁Gabriel Knesowitschout: Willian Machado
46'
⚽João Victorassist: Reinaldo
54'
59'
🔁Yago Pikachuout: Jajá
59'
🔁Marcelinhoout: Matheus Alexandre
🔁Gustavo Silvaout: Shaylon
60'
72'
Zé Ivaldo
72'
Matheus Alexandre
75'
🔁Zé Ricardoout: David Braga
🔁Eduardoout: Gustavo Cazonatti
77'
81'
🔁Gabriel Taliariout: Vitor Bueno
81'
🔁Alef Mangaout: Gabriel Poveda
🔁Japaout: Chico
85'
🔁Edson Cariocaout: Carlos Eduardo
85'

Match stats — Mirassol vs Remo

54%Possession46%
8Shots13
4On target2
6Corners3
1.47xG0.8

Goals against chances

Mirassol2 from 1.47 xGmore than the chances were worth
Remo1 from 0.80 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Mirassol 4-2-3-1
  • 90ThomazellaG
  • 32Igor FormigaD
  • 34João VictorD
  • 44Gabriel KnesowitschD
  • 6ReinaldoD
  • 8DenilsonM
  • 5JapaM
  • 19Gustavo SilvaM
  • 33EduardoM
  • 95Edson CariocaM
  • 30Bruno SantosF
Substitutes
  • 3Willian MachadoD
  • 7ShaylonM
  • 55Gustavo CazonattiM
  • 10ChicoM
  • 96Carlos EduardoF
  • 23Alex MuralhaG
  • 2Lucas OliveiraD
  • 12Victor LuisD
  • 18EliasD
Coach: Guanaes Rafael
Remo 4-2-3-1
  • 88Marcelo RangelG
  • 79MarcelinhoD
  • 13MarllonD
  • 27Zé IvaldoD
  • 77MaykD
  • 8PatrickM
  • 14Leonel PiccoM
  • 22Yago PikachuM
  • 55Zé RicardoM
  • 11Alef MangaM
  • 19Gabriel TaliariF
Substitutes
  • 2Matheus AlexandreD
  • 7JajáM
  • 26David BragaM
  • 15Vitor BuenoF
  • 9Gabriel PovedaF
  • 97IvanG
  • 94Ygor VinhasG
  • 4Matheus FelipeD
  • 5LéoD
Coach: Conde Leo

Form going into Mirassol vs Remo

Mirassol

  • D1-1away to Vasco da Gama25 July 2026
  • W2-1Gremio17 July 2026

Remo

  • W2-0Vitoria26 July 2026
  • L0-3away to Corinthians23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
15Mirassol2778123142-1129
19Remo2758143145-1423

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Mirassol vs Remo

  • 4 February 2026Remo 2–2 MirassolSerie A
  • 15 May 2022Remo 3–1 MirassolSerie C

Leading scorers: Mirassol and Remo

Mirassol

No player in Serie A's leading scorers — 31 league goals as a side.

Remo

  • Jája Silva7 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.