Internacional
vs
Flamengo
Final score: Internacional 1-1 Flamengo.
Before kick-off the model made it 48% Internacional, 23% draw, 29% Flamengo — fair odds of 2.08, 4.35 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Internacional 1.95, Flamengo 1.49.
Both teams to score: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 67%, under 2.5: 33%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Model insights
Match stats: Internacional vs Flamengo
Internacional had 27% possession, 16 shots (5 on target), 2 corners, 1.38 expected goals; Flamengo had 73% possession, 14 shots (5 on target), 3 corners, 1.45 expected goals.
Goals: Vitinho 27' for Internacional, Samuel Lino 79' for Flamengo.
Head-to-head: Internacional vs Flamengo
- 4 February 2026Flamengo 1–1 InternacionalSerie A
- 21 August 2025Internacional 0–2 FlamengoCONMEBOL Libertadores
- 17 August 2025Internacional 1–3 FlamengoSerie A
- 14 August 2025Flamengo 1–0 InternacionalCONMEBOL Libertadores
- 30 March 2025Flamengo 1–1 InternacionalSerie A
- 1 December 2024Flamengo 3–2 InternacionalSerie A
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Internacional the highest probability at 48%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.95 expected goals for Internacional against 1.49 for Flamengo. Internacional's attack/defence rating is 1.1/1.3 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.82/0.94 for Flamengo.