Argentinos Juniors vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Argentinos Juniors 3-0 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto.
Before kick-off the model made it 88% Argentinos Juniors, 8% draw, 4% Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto — fair odds of 1.14, 12.50 and 25.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 3-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Argentinos Juniors at 88% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 275 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Argentinos Juniors vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 25Brayan CortésG
- 22Kevin CoronelD
- 17Franco ParedesD
- 16Francisco ÁlvarezD
- 20Sebastián PrietoD
- 10Alan LescanoM
- 15Kevin GutiérrezM
- 11Nicolas OrozM
- 48Facundo JainikoskiM
- 9Gastón VerónF
- 27Tomás MolinaF
- 13Santino GianiniD
- 23Hernán López MuñozM
- 19Matías Giménez RojasF
- 21Gabriel FlorentínM
- 35Alan AlcarazF
- 50Diego RodríguezG
- 37Thiago GómezD
- 26Claudio BravoD
- 8Lucas GómezM
- 1Lucas BrueraG
- 2Gonzalo MaffiniD
- 30Sergio OjedaD
- 29Agustin QuirogaD
- 14Gonzalo GonzalezM
- 13Francisco RomeroM
- 8Siro RosaneM
- 28Facundo CobosM
- 10Tomas GonzalezF
- 32Mateo BajamichF
- 16Yeison MorenoF
- 19Nicolás TalponeM
- 27Juan GarroF
- 45Raúl LozanoD
- 40Francesco Lo CelsoM
- 9Javier FerreiraF
- 43Agustín LastraG
- 31Matias ValentiD
- 23Fernando RodríguezD
- 6Juan AntoniniD
Form going into Argentinos Juniors vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Argentinos Juniors
- W3-2away to Sarmiento Junin23 July 2026
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
- W1-0Tigre25 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Head-to-head: Argentinos Juniors vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
- 29 July 2026Argentinos Juniors 3–0 Estudiantes de Rio CuartoLiga Profesional Argentina
- 30 January 2026Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0–0 Argentinos JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina