Barracas Central
vs
Aldosivi
Final score: Barracas Central 1-0 Aldosivi.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% Barracas Central, 29% draw, 28% Aldosivi — fair odds of 2.33, 3.45 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Barracas Central 1.33, Aldosivi 1.01.
Both teams to score: 47%. Over 2.5 goals: 42%, under 2.5: 58%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Model insights
Match stats: Barracas Central vs Aldosivi
Barracas Central had 51% possession, 10 shots (4 on target), 1 corners, 0.4 expected goals; Aldosivi had 49% possession, 9 shots (1 on target), 8 corners, 0.38 expected goals.
Goals: Tomás Porra 40' for Barracas Central.
Head-to-head: Barracas Central vs Aldosivi
- 29 July 2026Barracas Central 0–0 AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina
- 28 January 2026Aldosivi 0–0 Barracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
- 10 August 2025Barracas Central 3–1 AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina
- 6 February 2025Aldosivi 1–3 Barracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
- 4 October 2022Aldosivi 2–0 Barracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
- 5 March 2022Barracas Central 2–1 AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Barracas Central the highest probability at 43%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.33 expected goals for Barracas Central against 1.01 for Aldosivi. Barracas Central's attack/defence rating is 0.54/1.25 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.58/1.3 for Aldosivi.