29 July 2026, 20:00 UTC

Atletico Mineiro vs RB Bragantino Serie A prediction & result

MRV Arena, Belo Horizonte
Referee: L. Casagrande
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Atletico Mineiro 1-0 RB Bragantino.

Before kick-off the model made it 48% Atletico Mineiro, 27% draw, 25% RB Bragantino — fair odds of 2.08, 3.70 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Atletico Mineiro at 48% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 1,712 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Atletico Mineiro97%Draw3%RB Bragantino0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

6'
🔁Alix Viniciusout: Eduardo Santos
⚽Bernard Anício Caldeira Duarte
18'
🔁Vitor Hugo Franchescoli de Souzaout: Léo Duarte
23'
45'
🔁Fábio Silva de Freitasout: Ignacio Sosa Ospital
45'
🔁Agustin Sant Annaout: Henry Mosquera
🔁Reinier Jesus Carvalhoout: Mateo Cassierra
57'
🔁Mamady Cisseout: Victor Hugo Gomes Silva
57'
68'
🔁Wallace Yanout: Lucas Henrique Barbosa
🔁Bernard Anício Caldeira Duarteout: Alexsander Cristhian Gomes da Costa
72'
76'
🔁Eric Ramiresout: Jose Herrera
76'
🔁Eduardo Sashaout: Isidro Pitta
84'
Ignacio Sosa Ospital
🔁Mateo Cassierraout: Igor Gomes
90+3'
Frederico Rodrigues de Paula Santos
90+6'

Match stats — Atletico Mineiro vs RB Bragantino

40%Possession60%
8Shots23
3On target7
5Corners10

Line-ups

Atletico Mineiro 4-2-3-1
  • 1Gabriel DelfimG
  • 2NatanaelD
  • 13LyancoD
  • 14Vitor HugoD
  • 6Renan LodiD
  • 39Mamady CisseM
  • 8MayconM
  • 28T. CuelloM
  • 7FredM
  • 11BernardM
  • 19ReinierF
Substitutes
  • 30Victor HugoM
  • 3Léo DuarteD
  • 5AlexsanderM
  • 34Samuel Lima BarrosD
  • 92DuduF
  • 31RobertG
  • 48GutteM
  • 25T. PérezM
  • 17Igor GomesM
Coach: E. Domínguez
RB Bragantino 4-1-4-1
  • 18Tiago VolpiG
  • 23A. Sant'AnnaD
  • 2Guzmán RodríguezD
  • 16Gustavo MarquesD
  • 29Juninho CapixabaD
  • 4AlixM
  • 47WallaceM
  • 7Eric RamiresM
  • 5FabinhoM
  • 11FernandoM
  • 8Eduardo SashaF
Substitutes
  • 3Eduardo SantosD
  • 6GabrielM
  • 32J. HerreraF
  • 21Lucas BarbosaM
  • 35Matheus FernandesM
  • 30Henry MosqueraF
  • 9I. PittaF
  • 15I. SosaM
  • 12VanderlanD
Coach: Vagner Mancini

Form going into Atletico Mineiro vs RB Bragantino

Atletico Mineiro

  • W2-1away to Palmeiras26 July 2026
  • D1-1Bahia21 July 2026

RB Bragantino

  • D0-0Coritiba26 July 2026
  • D1-1away to Fluminense17 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7Atletico Mineiro3013894135+647
9RB Bragantino30117123835+340

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Atletico Mineiro vs RB Bragantino

  • 3 October 2026Atletico Mineiro 1–0 RB BragantinoSerie A
  • 19 August 2026Atletico Mineiro 2–2 RB BragantinoCONMEBOL Sudamericana
  • 12 August 2026RB Bragantino 0–1 Atletico MineiroCONMEBOL Sudamericana
  • 4 February 2026RB Bragantino 1–0 Atletico MineiroSerie A
  • 16 November 2025RB Bragantino 2–0 Atletico MineiroSerie A
  • 3 August 2025Atletico Mineiro 2–1 RB BragantinoSerie A

The full Atletico Mineiro vs RB Bragantino record →

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.