13 September 2026, 16:00 UTC

FC Iberia 1999 vs Spaeri Erovnuli Liga prediction & result

Mikheil Meskhi Stadium, Tbilisi
Full time1 – 0

Final score: FC Iberia 1999 1-0 Spaeri.

Before kick-off the model made it 42% FC Iberia 1999, 27% draw, 31% Spaeri — fair odds of 2.38, 3.70 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FC Iberia 1999 at 42% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Iberia 19995%Draw91%Spaeri4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Vahid Selimović
28'
🔁I. Alhassanout: G. Kutsia
32'
🔁N. Bochorishviliout: G. Kobuladze
46'
49'
🔁B. Jibrilout: R. Injgia
56'
giga samcharadze
aleksandre amisulashvili
58'
🔁Lucas Cafeout: A. Dzagania
60'
🔁J. Tiboueout: V. Bedoshvili
60'
77'
🔁G. Tsetskhladzeout: Z. Basilashvili
giorgi kobuladze
90+8'
🔁N. Dadianiout: E. Kuliyev
90+10'
90+10'
🔁T. Tsalughelashviliout: O. Gordeziani
90+10'
🔁L. Kokhreidzeout: Z. Golubiani
⚽V. Bedoshviliassist: J. Jinjolava
90'

Match stats — FC Iberia 1999 vs Spaeri

49%Possession51%
9Shots11
4On target2
6Corners5

Line-ups

FC Iberia 1999
  • 1T. Megrelishvili
  • 30N. Bochorishvili
  • 25A. Amisulashvili
  • 4V. Selimovic
  • 5J. Jinjolava
  • 6N. Dadiani
  • 14I. Alhassan
  • 33J. Tiboue
  • 18Lucas Cafe
  • 19N. Sikharulashvili
  • 10Z. Natchkebia
Substitutes
  • 31G. Makaridze
  • 3P. Cancar
  • 7D. Kvartskhava
  • 9A. Dzagania
  • 22S. Figueredo
  • 23E. Kuliyev
  • 24V. Bedoshvili
  • 27G. Kutsia
  • 40G. Kobuladze
Coach: Andriy Demchenko
Spaeri
  • 1B. Putkaradze
  • 13S. Mathenjwa
  • 20N. Kentchadze
  • 4G. Grigalashvili
  • 14G. Samkharadze
  • 5T. Tsalughelashvili
  • 6T. Askurava
  • 26B. Jibril
  • 9G. Tsetskhladze
  • 19G. Tsirdava
  • 17L. Kokhreidze
Substitutes
  • 23N. Chomakhidze
  • 3L. Kachibaia
  • 16S. Dzneladze
  • 21O. Gordeziani
  • 24Z. Golubiani
  • 25R. Injgia
  • 30Z. Basilashvili
  • 31G. Bunturi
  • 38F. Osemene
Coach: Anzor Kighuradze

Form going into FC Iberia 1999 vs Spaeri

FC Iberia 1999

All competitions we cover

  • L0-2away to Dinamo Batumi9 September 2026
  • W2-1Samgurali5 September 2026
  • L0-2away to Gagra31 August 2026
  • L1-2Jagiellonia27 August 2026
  • L0-4away to Jagiellonia20 August 2026

Spaeri

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1Rustavi9 September 2026
  • D2-2away to Meshakhte5 September 2026
  • L0-3away to Dinamo Batumi30 August 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Erovnuli Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2FC Iberia 19993017494533+1255
9Spaeri30512133849-1127

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

The result against the call

FC Iberia 1999 beat Spaeri 1–0. The model had made a win for FC Iberia 1999 its most likely outcome, at 42%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: V. Bedoshvili 90' for FC Iberia 1999.

How the call on FC Iberia 1999 v Spaeri has moved

First published on 1 Sep at 44% / 28% / 28% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 42% / 27% / 31%: the biggest move is Spaeri's chance of winning, up 3 points.

  1. FC Iberia 1999 win42%▼ −2
  2. Draw27%▼ −1
  3. Spaeri win31%▲ +3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.