17 September 2026, 16:00 UTC

FC Iberia 1999 vs Dila Erovnuli Liga prediction & result

Mikheil Meskhi Stadium, Tbilisi
Full time2 – 1

Final score: FC Iberia 1999 2-1 Dila.

Before kick-off the model made it 23% FC Iberia 1999, 23% draw, 54% Dila — fair odds of 4.35, 4.35 and 1.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Dila at 54% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Iberia 19995%Draw89%Dila6%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 2 sendings-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Lucas Oliveira Brune
16'
21'
🔁tedo kikabidzeout: Nelson Mike Puketi
aleksandre amisulashvili
32'
33'
Otar Parulava
39'
araujo joao
46'
🔁Georgiy Kobakhidzeout: Shota Shekiladze
Nikoloz Dadiani
50'
56'
🔁Otar Parulavaout: Kristaps Grabovskis
58'
araujo joao
⚽Nikoloz Dadiani (pen)
63'
Amiran Dzagania
66'
🔁Lucas Oliveira Bruneout: Vakho Bedoshvili
66'
Vakho Bedoshvili
68'
74'
🔁Mohamed Kantéout: badri gogoberishvili
74'
🔁lasha menteshashviliout: Mouhamed Diouf
🔁nika sikharulashviliout: Giorgi Kutsia
78'
82'
⚽Mouhamed Dioufassist: Mamin Sanyang
🔁giorgi kobuladzeout: Nikoloz Botchorishvili
90'
🔁Zviad Natchkebiaout: marc jean tiboue
90'
🔁Amiran Dzaganiaout: Lado Chikhradze
90'
90+6'
Mamin Sanyang
90+6'
Mamin Sanyang
⚽Jemali-Giorgi Jinjolava (pen)
90+8'

Match stats — FC Iberia 1999 vs Dila

68%Possession32%
19Shots9
8On target5
4Corners4

Line-ups

FC Iberia 1999 4-2-3-1
  • 31G. MakaridzeG
  • 40G. KobuladzeD
  • 25A. AmisulashviliD
  • 4V. SelimovićD
  • 5J. JinjolavaD
  • 8B. KardavaM
  • 6N. DadianiM
  • 18Lucas BruneM
  • 19N. SikharulashviliM
  • 10Z. NatchkebiaF
  • 9A. DzaganiaF
Substitutes
  • 24V. BedoshviliF
  • 30N. BochorishviliD
  • 3P. CancarD
  • 29L. ChikhradzeF
  • 22S. FigueredoD
  • 23E. KulievM
  • 27G. KutsiaM
  • 1T. MegrelishviliG
  • 33marc jean tiboueD
Coach: A. Demchenko
Dila 3-4-1-2
  • 1D. KereselidzeG
  • 2T. KikabidzeD
  • 13João AraújoD
  • 25L. YarbroughD
  • 16M. SanyangF
  • 17B. AnoffM
  • 15G. KobakhidzeM
  • 14G. JalaghoniaD
  • 10O. ParulavaM
  • 9K. KefingF
  • 8L. MenteshashviliM
Substitutes
  • 5Nelson Mike PuketiD
  • 12L. SanikidzeG
  • 22Shota ShekiladzeF
  • 11K. GrabovskisF
  • 19B. GogoberishviliM
  • 33R. EtouD
  • 24Mouhamed DioufD
  • 21Z. MuselianiF
Coach: A. Vavalis

Form going into FC Iberia 1999 vs Dila

FC Iberia 1999

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0Spaeri13 September 2026
  • L0-2away to Dinamo Batumi9 September 2026
  • W2-1Samgurali5 September 2026
  • L0-2away to Gagra31 August 2026
  • L1-2Jagiellonia27 August 2026

Dila

All competitions we cover

  • D2-2Dinamo Batumi13 September 2026
  • W3-1away to Samgurali9 September 2026
  • W1-0Gagra5 September 2026
  • L1-2away to Dinamo Tbilisi31 August 2026
  • L0-3away to Apollon Limassol28 July 2026

What these results say

  • FC Iberia 1999 conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Dila scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Dila conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Dila had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Erovnuli Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2FC Iberia 19993017494533+1255
5Dila30124144037+340

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Iberia 1999 vs Dila

  • 6 May 2026Dila 0–1 FC Iberia 1999Erovnuli Liga
  • 6 March 2026FC Iberia 1999 1–0 DilaErovnuli Liga
  • 10 December 2025FC Iberia 1999 1–3 DilaDavid Kipiani Cup
  • 26 October 2025FC Iberia 1999 2–1 DilaErovnuli Liga
  • 17 August 2025Dila 0–6 FC Iberia 1999Erovnuli Liga

The result against the call

FC Iberia 1999 beat Dila 2–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Dila at 54% and given a win for FC Iberia 1999 23%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Nikoloz Dadiani (penalty) 63' for FC Iberia 1999, Mouhamed Diouf 82' for Dila, Jemali-Giorgi Jinjolava (penalty) 90+8' for FC Iberia 1999. Sent off: araujo joao (Dila) 58', Mamin Sanyang (Dila) 90+6'.

How the call on FC Iberia 1999 v Dila has moved

First published on 3 Sep at 34% / 26% / 40% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 23% / 23% / 54%: the biggest move is Dila's chance of winning, up 14 points.

  1. FC Iberia 1999 win23%▼ −11
  2. Draw23%▼ −3
  3. Dila win54%▲ +14

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.