Inter Turku vs VPS Finnish Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Inter Turku 1-0 VPS.
Before kick-off the model made it 58% Inter Turku, 24% draw, 18% VPS — fair odds of 1.72, 4.17 and 5.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Finnish Premier League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Inter Turku at 58% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Inter Turku vs VPS
Line-ups
- 1E. HuuhtanenG
- 18S. SaarinenD
- 22L. KuittinenD
- 6R. IvanovD
- 2J. NiskaD
- 14J. LaineM
- 17B. AmpofoM
- 7H. SjogrellM
- 8J. Yli-KokkoM
- 16C. JephtaF
- 10A. Conteh
- 12E. VuorjokiG
- 5A. GranlundD
- 30Y. AmankwahD
- 4P. AhiabuM
- 19I. JarvinenM
- 24J. TauriainenD
- 11J. BotueF
- 34L. ProkopF
- 33M. SusoM
- 41M. JallohG
- 23M. NiemiD
- 6E. OkerekeD
- 19M. HaukiojaD
- 13O. OgunniyiM
- 2L. ManeD
- 3R. SimpsonD
- 7J. TurfkruierM
- 8P. LimaM
- 24Y. DaoussiM
- 27K. Kouassivi-BenissanM
- 12L. VayrynenG
- 21A. Adu-BoahenD
- 14S. LindholmM
- 26R. ForsbackaM
- 30J. VahteraM
- 34A. RaisanenM
- 17D. TerrnavaM
- 9C. HolmelundF
- 20X. OdhiamboF
Form going into Inter Turku vs VPS
Inter Turku
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to HJK Helsinki9 September 2026
- W1-0KuPS31 August 2026
- L1-4away to FC Copenhagen27 August 2026
- D0-0away to Turku PS23 August 2026
- D0-0FC Copenhagen20 August 2026
VPS
All competitions we cover
- W1-0AC Oulu8 September 2026
- L0-1Lahti31 August 2026
- W1-0away to Ilves22 August 2026
- L1-3Turku PS14 August 2026
- W3-1away to FF Jaro8 August 2026
What these results say
- Inter Turku failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- VPS scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Finnish Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Inter Turku | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 37 | 24 | +13 | 55 |
| 6 | VPS | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 40 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Inter Turku vs VPS
- 2 August 2026VPS 0–1 Inter TurkuFinnish Premier League
- 30 June 2026VPS 2–3 Inter TurkuSuomen Cup
- 4 April 2026Inter Turku 0–0 VPSFinnish Premier League
- 31 August 2025Inter Turku 2–1 VPSFinnish Premier League
- 19 April 2025VPS 0–2 Inter TurkuFinnish Premier League
Leading scorers: Inter Turku and VPS
Inter Turku
GoalsAssists
- H. Sjögrell72
- Alie Conteh30
- C. Jephta30
VPS
GoalsAssists
- L. Smyth50
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Inter Turku beat VPS 1–0. The model had made a win for Inter Turku its most likely outcome, at 58%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goal: H. Sjogrell 70' for Inter Turku.
How the call on Inter Turku v VPS has moved
First published on 3 Sep at 55% / 26% / 19% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 58% / 24% / 18%: the biggest move is Inter Turku's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- Inter Turku win58%▲ +3
- Draw24%▼ −2
- VPS win18%▼ −1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.