MB Rouisset
vs
Ben Aknoun
Ligue 1 postponed match
This fixture has been postponed and is not being played on this date. A replayed tie is listed by our data provider as a new fixture, with its own page, so the call below has no result to be judged against.
Before the match was called off the model made it 46% MB Rouisset, 26% draw, 28% Ben Aknoun — fair odds of 2.17, 3.85 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: MB Rouisset 1.77, Ben Aknoun 1.24.
Both teams to score: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%, under 2.5: 42%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published · updated
More Ligue 1 (Algeria) predictions
Model insights: MB Rouisset vs Ben Aknoun
Has the model earned this number?
It puts MB Rouisset at 46% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 1,712 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into MB Rouisset vs Ben Aknoun
MB Rouisset
- W2-0away to Témouchent14 October 2026
- W1-0USM Alger8 October 2026
- L0-2away to MC Alger18 September 2026
- W2-0Olympique Akbou12 September 2026
- L0-1away to JS Kabylie4 September 2026
Ben Aknoun
- D2-2JS El Biar7 October 2026
- D1-1away to Khenchela18 September 2026
- D2-2US Biskra10 September 2026
- W1-0away to ES Setif3 September 2026
What these results say
- Every one of these 5 matches for MB Rouisset had two goals or fewer.
- Ben Aknoun went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Ben Aknoun scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Ben Aknoun failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | MB Rouisset | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 8 | Ben Aknoun | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: MB Rouisset vs Ben Aknoun
- 18 March 2026Ben Aknoun 3–2 MB RouissetLigue 1
- 25 October 2025MB Rouisset 0–0 Ben AknounLigue 1
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
MB Rouisset carry a model rating of 6.31 against 6.29 for Ben Aknoun. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.77 goals for MB Rouisset and 1.24 for Ben Aknoun. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
MB Rouisset rate 0.53 in attack and 1.56 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Ben Aknoun rate 0.66 and 2.05.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,776 correct results out of 3,725 settled predictions (48%), with 376 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives MB Rouisset the highest probability at 46%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.77 expected goals for MB Rouisset against 1.24 for Ben Aknoun. MB Rouisset's attack/defence rating is 0.53/1.56 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.66/2.05 for Ben Aknoun.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.