MC Oran
vs
Olympique Akbou
Ligue 1 postponed match
This fixture has been postponed and is not being played on this date. A replayed tie is listed by our data provider as a new fixture, with its own page, so the call below has no result to be judged against.
Before the match was called off the model made it 47% MC Oran, 29% draw, 24% Olympique Akbou — fair odds of 2.13, 3.45 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: MC Oran 1.50, Olympique Akbou 0.92.
Both teams to score: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 44%, under 2.5: 56%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published · updated
More Ligue 1 (Algeria) predictions
Model insights: MC Oran vs Olympique Akbou
Has the model earned this number?
It puts MC Oran at 47% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 1,712 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into MC Oran vs Olympique Akbou
MC Oran
- W1-0away to US Biskra13 October 2026
- D0-0ES Setif8 October 2026
- W1-0away to ASO Chlef18 September 2026
- W2-0Témouchent11 September 2026
Olympique Akbou
- D0-0away to JS Saoura8 October 2026
- L2-3USM Alger19 September 2026
- L0-2away to MB Rouisset12 September 2026
- W2-0away to JS El Biar3 September 2026
What these results say
- MC Oran went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- MC Oran kept a clean sheet in every one of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for MC Oran had two goals or fewer.
- Olympique Akbou failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Olympique Akbou had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | MC Oran | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +4 | 10 |
| 11 | Olympique Akbou | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: MC Oran vs Olympique Akbou
- 3 February 2026MC Oran 0–1 Olympique AkbouLigue 1
- 29 August 2025Olympique Akbou 1–0 MC OranLigue 1
- 25 April 2025MC Oran 1–0 Olympique AkbouLigue 1
- 15 November 2024Olympique Akbou 3–1 MC OranLigue 1
- 25 November 2022MC Oran 1–1 Olympique AkbouCoupe Nationale
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
MC Oran carry a model rating of 6.38 against 6.28 for Olympique Akbou. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.50 goals for MC Oran and 0.92 for Olympique Akbou. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
MC Oran rate 0.55 in attack and 1.42 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Olympique Akbou rate 0.54 and 1.68.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,776 correct results out of 3,725 settled predictions (48%), with 376 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives MC Oran the highest probability at 47%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.50 expected goals for MC Oran against 0.92 for Olympique Akbou. MC Oran's attack/defence rating is 0.55/1.42 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.54/1.68 for Olympique Akbou.