CS Constantine
vs
JS El Biar
Ligue 1 prediction
Our model says: CS Constantine 2–1 JS El Biar
The model makes it 50% CS Constantine, 22% draw, 28% JS El Biar — fair odds of 2.00, 4.55 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (8%).
Expected goals: CS Constantine 2.40, JS El Biar 1.68.
Both teams to score: 74%. Over 2.5 goals: 77%, under 2.5: 23%.
Model confidence: High.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- CS Constantine are 6th on 7 points from 5 games; JS El Biar are 12th on 4 points from 5 games — Ligue 1.
- CS Constantine have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-2 defeat away to Khenchela.
- JS El Biar have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-3 defeat at home to CR Belouizdad.
More Ligue 1 (Algeria) predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: CS Constantine vs JS El Biar
Has the model earned this number?
It puts CS Constantine at 50% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 872 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into CS Constantine vs JS El Biar
CS Constantine
- L0-2away to Khenchela12 October 2026
- W4-0US Biskra7 October 2026
- L1-5away to ES Setif19 September 2026
- W3-0ASO Chlef12 September 2026
- D1-1away to Témouchent5 September 2026
JS El Biar
- L2-3CR Belouizdad12 October 2026
- D2-2away to Ben Aknoun7 October 2026
- W4-0JS Saoura18 September 2026
- L0-2away to USM Alger10 September 2026
- L0-2Olympique Akbou3 September 2026
What these results say
- CS Constantine scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- JS El Biar failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- JS El Biar conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | CS Constantine | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 7 |
| 12 | JS El Biar | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 4 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: CS Constantine vs JS El Biar
- 5 December 2025CS Constantine 4–1 JS El BiarCoupe Nationale
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
CS Constantine carry a model rating of 6.29 against 6.28 for JS El Biar. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 2.40 goals for CS Constantine and 1.68 for JS El Biar. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
CS Constantine rate 0.66 in attack and 2.05 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; JS El Biar rate 0.68 and 2.24.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,776 correct results out of 3,725 settled predictions (48%), with 376 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives CS Constantine the highest probability at 50%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.40 expected goals for CS Constantine against 1.68 for JS El Biar. CS Constantine's attack/defence rating is 0.66/2.05 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.68/2.24 for JS El Biar.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
CS Constantine at home · JS El Biar away
League matches only, Ligue 1, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Ligue 1 matches this season: CS Constantine 5, JS El Biar 5.
JS El Biar score most often in the 76–90 minute window (3 goals); CS Constantine have let in 3 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
CS Constantine
- at Olympique Akbou23 Oct · Ligue 1win 29%
- at JS Saoura24 Oct · Ligue 1win 28%
- vs Ben Aknoun31 Oct · Ligue 1win 48%
- at CR Belouizdad7 Nov · Ligue 1win 18%
JS El Biar
- vs MC Oran23 Oct · Ligue 1win 38%
- vs MC Alger24 Oct · Ligue 1win 32%
- at Témouchent31 Oct · Ligue 1win 38%
- vs ASO Chlef7 Nov · Ligue 1win 53%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.