10 October 2026, 19:00 UTC

Manta FC vs Tecnico Universitario Liga Pro prediction & result

Estadio Jocay, Manta
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Manta FC 1-0 Tecnico Universitario.

Before kick-off the model made it 42% Manta FC, 28% draw, 30% Tecnico Universitario — fair odds of 2.38, 3.57 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Manta FC at 42% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 1,712 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Manta FC95%Draw5%Tecnico Universitario0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

28'
Wagner Eriberto Caicedo Peralta
⚽Jostin Almanassist: J. Vergés
40'
45'
🔁Luis Estupiñanout: Johan Bocanegra
Felix Alejandro Zambrano Santizaba
52'
59'
🔁Adrian Celaout: Cesar Castano
Mateo Ortiz
64'
🔁Jose Enrique Angulo Caicedoout: Ángel Ledesma
70'
🔁J. Vergésout: Glendys Calos Mina
70'
72'
Jonathan Alexis Majao Aguayo
77'
🔁Carlos Cueroout: Luis Cordova
77'
🔁E. Mesaout: Anthony Castilo
Juan Jimenez
80'
🔁Jefferson Troyaout: Jefferson Nazareno
81'
🔁José Monagaout: Juan Nazareno
81'
87'
🔁Jonathan Alexis Majao Aguayoout: Carlos Ronny Estupiñán García
🔁Juan Jimenezout: M. Valencia
87'
Ángel Ledesma
90+3'

Match stats — Manta FC vs Tecnico Universitario

44%Possession56%
15Shots11
3On target1
13Corners7
0.81xG1.28

Goals against chances

Manta FC1 from 0.81 xGabout what the chances were worth
Tecnico Universitario0 from 1.28 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Manta FC 4-4-2
  • 12F. ZambranoG
  • 23A. MedinaD
  • 24O. MoscarelliD
  • 21M. OrtízD
  • 25J. MonagaD
  • 27Jefferson Alberto Troya VeraM
  • 6J. JiménezM
  • 5B. RamírezM
  • 55J. VergésM
  • 17José Enrique Angulo CaicedoF
  • 19J. AlmanF
Substitutes
  • 4J. NazarenoD
  • 70J. NazarenoM
  • 52J. RialpeM
  • 8M. ValenciaF
  • 9J. BlancoF
  • 11F. AsagidigbiF
  • 10R. BurbanoM
  • 7Walter Leodán Chalá VásquezF
  • 1W. ChávezG
Coach: Eduardo Carvajal Burgos Javier
Tecnico Universitario 4-4-2
  • 12Ayrton MoralesG
  • 23E. MesaD
  • 13J. AnayaD
  • 5S. MenaD
  • 79C. CueroD
  • 7L. EstupiñánM
  • 33J. MajaoM
  • 29A. CelaM
  • 25B. DelgadoM
  • 90W. CaicedoF
  • 8D. ArmasF
Substitutes
  • 30Luis Arce Caicedo KenerD
  • 67M. CarrascoM
  • 85Y. ArceD
  • 10J. BocanegraM
  • 70C. CastañoM
  • 15F. CastillloM
  • 19Anthony CastiloF
  • 4Luis Mario Cordova MinaD
  • 77C. GarciaM
Coach: Ismael Blanco

Form going into Manta FC vs Tecnico Universitario

Manta FC

  • W2-1Orense SC21 September 2026
  • D0-0Aucas12 September 2026
  • L0-1away to Emelec8 September 2026
  • L3-4away to Macara2 September 2026

Tecnico Universitario

  • D1-1Delfin SC20 September 2026
  • W1-0away to Leones del Norte13 September 2026
  • L1-3LDU de Quito5 September 2026
  • L0-1away to Delfin SC1 September 2026

What these results say

  • Manta FC failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Manta FC conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Tecnico Universitario failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Tecnico Universitario scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Tecnico Universitario conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
16Manta FC3276192043-2327
14Tecnico Universitario32103192944-1533

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Manta FC vs Tecnico Universitario

  • 26 July 2026Tecnico Universitario 1–0 Manta FCLiga Pro
  • 5 April 2026Manta FC 0–2 Tecnico UniversitarioLiga Pro
  • 29 November 2025Tecnico Universitario 2–3 Manta FCLiga Pro
  • 19 October 2025Manta FC 2–0 Tecnico UniversitarioLiga Pro
  • 3 August 2025Tecnico Universitario 3–1 Manta FCLiga Pro
  • 11 April 2025Manta FC 2–1 Tecnico UniversitarioLiga Pro
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.