Arges Pitesti vs FC Botosani Liga I prediction & result
Final score: Arges Pitesti 1-1 FC Botosani.
Before kick-off the model made it 34% Arges Pitesti, 33% draw, 33% FC Botosani — fair odds of 2.94, 3.03 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Romanian Liga I predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Arges Pitesti at 34% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Arges Pitesti vs FC Botosani
Line-ups
- 34C. CăbuzG
- 2A. TofanD
- 3L. SadriuD
- 23F. BorţaD
- 69O. AdefunyibomiM
- 26D. OanceaM
- 11Y. PîrvuM
- 22V. RaţăM
- 25Tiago GonçalvesM
- 9G. CharpentierF
- 92T. LuvamboF
- 20P. DulceaM
- 96S. BalaureD
- 7M. IdowuF
- 19C. MicovschiF
- 16I. RădescuM
- 18Daniel SanduF
- 6M. TudoseD
- 31M. SerbanG
- 14Andreas BalasaM
- 99G. AnestisG
- 2B. BayeyeD
- 4A. MironD
- 94M. DiarraD
- 73N. IlașD
- 21Lucas de VegaM
- 3C. PetroM
- 26H. OngendaM
- 8R. IdowuF
- 41A. DumiterF
- 11Z. MitrovF
- 77Gama GabrielM
- 27Ionuț Cristian GurăuG
- 44R. SadikuD
- 5R. CreţD
- 90Mario PredaF
- 67E. PapaM
- 9J. MarkovićF
- 7S. MailatF
- 22M. KovtalyukF
Form going into Arges Pitesti vs FC Botosani
Arges Pitesti
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to FC Voluntari7 September 2026
- L0-1Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe29 August 2026
- L0-1away to Oțelul24 August 2026
- D1-1Farul Constanta14 August 2026
- W1-0away to Universitatea Craiova9 August 2026
FC Botosani
All competitions we cover
- W5-0Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe5 September 2026
- D0-0away to Farul Constanta30 August 2026
- W1-0Csikszereda24 August 2026
- L2-3away to FCSB17 August 2026
- D0-0Corvinul Hunedoara10 August 2026
What these results say
- Every one of these 5 matches for Arges Pitesti had two goals or fewer.
- Arges Pitesti failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Arges Pitesti conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Botosani kept a clean sheet in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Arges Pitesti | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 12 |
| 11 | FC Botosani | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Arges Pitesti vs FC Botosani
- 13 December 2025Arges Pitesti 0–0 FC BotosaniLiga I
- 11 August 2025FC Botosani 3–1 Arges PitestiLiga I
- 4 December 2024Arges Pitesti 0–3 FC BotosaniCupa României
- 9 April 2023FC Botosani 1–0 Arges PitestiLiga I
- 29 January 2023Arges Pitesti 0–2 FC BotosaniLiga I
Leading scorers: Arges Pitesti and FC Botosani
Arges Pitesti
No player in Liga I's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
FC Botosani
GoalsAssists
- A. Dumiter70
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Arges Pitesti and FC Botosani drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Arges Pitesti at 34% and given a draw 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Taylor Luvambo 60' for Arges Pitesti, Gabriel Gama 86' for FC Botosani. Sent off: Narcis Ilas (FC Botosani) 68'.
How the call on Arges Pitesti v FC Botosani has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 37% / 33% / 30% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 34% / 33% / 33%: the biggest move is Arges Pitesti's chance of winning, down 3 points.
- Arges Pitesti win34%▼ −3
- Draw33%=
- FC Botosani win33%▲ +3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.